There are two contradictory views on what Chelsea, and more importantly Mourinho, managed to accomplish last Sunday at Anfield. One narrative paints him as an enemy of football, whose single mission in life is to annihilate the beautiful game. He not only derailed every neutral’s fairytale hope of seeing Liverpool win the title, but also robbed two hours of their life by subjecting them to torturous display of negative football. The second narrative, however, sees him as a master of the biggest of games; a perennial winner who knows what it takes to carve out victories in the most unlikely of scenarios and who can get his players to perform way beyond their individual capabilities for the collective good of the team.
You may side with either of the two lines of thought, but one thing is certain; if Chelsea are to overcome Atletico Madrid on Wednesday night and reach the Champions League final, Jose Mourinho will have to think, plan and then get his players to execute his strategy impeccably on the pitch (again) because Diego Simeone will come prepared for all possible scenarios and unfortunately for Chelsea, Atletico are their closest avatars in Europe as far as well-oiled, efficient machines go, with an added advantage of having arguably one of the most lethal strikers in Europe (on current form).
Chelsea secured a respectable yet highly dangerous 0-0 result at the Vincente Calderon. Respectable because they were able to shut out an impressive team in Atletico, and dangerous because they couldn’t manage an away goal. As it stands, any kind of draw at Stamford Bridge will see the La Liga leaders progress to the final. Therefore, as was the case last week, even at home Chelsea cannot afford to let Atletico score so the defence will again have to be air tight. The difference this time, however, will be that Chelsea definitely have to score. Mourinho’s approach is expected to be similar to what he adopted at The Etihad in February, knowing that to regain lost ground in the league, Chelsea must win against City. On that famous night the defence was solid, midfield dominant and gameplay of the forward line (particularly of Hazard) devastating.
We try to look at few of the aspects that should play a role at least in Jose Mourinho’s thought process, if not on the pitch, come Wednesday.
Availability of injured players
After the first leg, the writing seemed to be on the wall as far as availability of players was concerned. Cech was supposedly out for the season with a dislocated shoulder, Terry was to miss at least the second leg, while there was no news on the availability of Hazard and Eto’o. There were hints from Mourinho before today that Terry might recover just in time to face Atletico. The news coming out of Cobham today is that all four (also Cech!) were involved in training today and at least three of them (apart from the goalkeeper) look certain to at least make the bench on Wednesday.
This is a brilliant piece of news for the home team as each of them have a significant part to play, if the Blues are to reach their third final. Terry was absolutely sensational till he got injured and in the possible absence of Cech, the centre-back partnership of Cahill and Terry will auger well for Chelsea. All the 12 goals that Eto’o’s has scored this season have come at the Bridge and against teams that don’t give a lot of space between the lines, he remains Mourinho’s best bet. And finally, Hazard, who was recently given the best young player award in the Premier League, is Chelsea’s most dynamic attacker. He has the ability to change games on his own, even at a time when the other 10 players are busy defending. In such games, importance of players of the caliber of the Belgian cannot be overstated.
Winning three key battles
All matches, especially big European ones, are decided by the outcome of a few key battles on the pitch. This match will be no different.
Luiz/Ramires/Oscar v Atletico midfield (without Gabi)
Chelsea will be without the services of Lampard and Mikel because of suspensions for this game, but neither will be the greatest midfield loss on Wednesday night. That honor goes to Atletico captain Gabi, who picked up a yellow in the first leg, ruling him out of the return fixture. Gabi is the heart of this team that keeps the engine running. He closes down players, denying them any kind of time on the ball whatsoever, moves intelligently to the wide to receive the ball or to double up on opposition’s left winger and is generally someone who gets the best out of either Suarez or Tiago. Now in his absence, Simeone’s 4-4-2 formation will see the later pair up to take on the double pivot deployed by Chelsea, which will comprise of Luiz and Ramires in all likelihood. How they fair against an Atletico midfield devoid of Gabi may be key to unlocking this evenly balanced fixture. Here the performance of Chelsea’s number 10 (central attacking midfielder) will also be important, who will be expected to drop deep and disrupt the gameplay of Tiago/Suarez, thus creating a 3-0n-2 overload in the centre of the pitch. Oscar, being arguably the most tactical disciplined and positionally aware attacking midfielder in the world presently, is expected to play this role.
Terry/Cahill v Costa
Diego Costa may join Chelsea in the summer, but he’ll like to give his suitors a final taste of things to come, thus making them all the more desperate to sign him. Costa is the ideal striker to have, if you are a counter-attacking team. He is physical, has pace, can run behind defenders and seldom loses out in a one-on-one situation. He is, however, not an ideal option against an highly defensive team that sits deep and soaks in the pressure. That’s exactly what Jose did in the first leg and Terry/Cahill didn’t give Costa even an inch of space to maneuver in. Chelsea will now look to score on the counter and cannot afford to absolutely shut shop, so Atletico is also expected to get more space to break free. Furthermore, Costa will also be looking to make the home team realize exactly what he’s capable of. Terry and Cahill again have one hell of a job in front of them because this striker will keep coming at them relentlessly.
Azpilicueta/Schurrle/Hazard v Juanfran/GarciaAi??
In the first leg, Willian had the job of marking Juanfran very closely, and Cole and Garcia were equally matched further up field. The contest, however, regularly tilted in Atletico’s favor because of the rightward movements of Gabi, creating a 3-0n-2 situation. Although the Spanish side was unable to hurt Chelsea, Garcia was the man who made the most runs into the box and was the player at the end of most crosses in the game. With Ivanovic returning, Azpilicueta will retake his position on the left and will look to nullify the threat presented by Garcia more effectively. Also Schurrle or Hazard (whoever plays on the left) will have to closely mark Juanfran and keep him under pressure, so that the fullback isn’t able to bomb forward repeatedly and join the attack.
Whatever be the outcome of these battles, with the tie evenly poised after the first leg, we have a tantalizing battle on our hands.
Knowing the nature of both teams, its quite likely that the game could go into extra-time and will eventually be settled by penalties, so Mourinho will also have to keep a close eye on the players he has on the pitch in the closing stages of the match. Hazard, having just returned from injury, may start from the bench and come on in the 60th minutes, depending on the situation at hand. In the absence of Lampard, the best penalty takers for Chelsea are Hazard, Luiz and Cole while Willian, Schurrle, etc. are considerably untested as far as penalties are concerned, so ideally the manager will want his best men to be on the pitch if and when the referee blows the whistle at the end of 120 minutes.
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