Opening Remarks
The last time Arsenal FC won a Premier League title, they were only the send club after Preston North End in 1888-89 to go through an entire league season unbeaten. At that time, it seemed like Arsenal had dethroned Manchester United as superpowers in modern day English football. With experienced campaigners like Patrick Vieira and Dennis Bergkamp combining well with young players like Kolo Toure and Ashley Cole under a manager who championed an aesthetic style of football, it seemed like Arsenal would dominate for years to come.
Fast forward nearly 10 years; the entry of Roman Abramovich, the resurgence of Manchester United under Sir Alex Ferguson and the rise of Manchester City have resulted in Arsenal not winning a single Premier League title since then. While moving into a shiny stadium at Ashburton Grove is obviously nice – it has tightened finances while in key players have left the Gunners every summer.
Arsenal now sit at the top of the Premier League Table at this point in time. However, this has been the case on more than one January in the recent past, and with Manchester City and Chelsea boasting of cash reserves that can be diverted to the transfer market at any time, Arsenal’s title credentials have been doubted all season long. But as Arsene Wenger and the Gunners continue to get the right results, we at TheHardTackle ask the big question:
Can Arsenal win the Premier League title this season?
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Naveen Maliakkal is for the motion. He believes that Arsenal’s ability to take points from the games where they’re supposed to will help them in the title race.
Arsenal have accumulated 51 points through their first 22 games. More importantly, Arsenal have been fantastic at taking points from teams in the bottom half of the Premier League table (a draw to an in-form West Brom and a loss playing against Aston Villa and Anthony Taylor aside).
In a season where only one side has the potential for 90 points (though Manchester City would have to drop only 8 points in their last 17 matches, a 95 point pace, while having a tougher set of away fixtures compared to their first 21 matches), flat-track bullying may be the best way to win the title. In Arsenalai??i??s final 16 matches, only in four matches is an Arsenal not winning more likely than them winning (at Liverpool, at Chelsea, at home vs City, at Everton).
It would not be unreasonable for Arsenal to average 2.5 points/match in the 12 games against non-title rivals (currently averaging 2.47 points/match against the bottom 16, which includes the Villa result). Given how well Arsenal match up against Liverpool, how Chelsea tend to play for draws in big fixtures, how Manchester City away are an unpredictable lot, and how Arsenal are a better side than Everton, a haul of five to eight points in those four fixtures seems reasonable.
Based on these estimates, Arsenal are likely to finish anywhere in the 86-89 points range. Given that 5 out of the last 12 champions won with less than 89 points and the unlikelihood of a 90 point team this season, Arsenal surely can will the title. Sure, City could consistently play to their potential. Maybe this is the year Eden Hazard shows that he is one of the worldai??i??s elite players and carries Chelsea into the high 80s (in terms of a points haul). And if I had to pick a favorite for the title, I would take Manchester City. But thatai??i??s not the question being asked.
June Pan is for the motion. According to her, the experience of manager Arsene Wenger could prove crucial as Arsenal aim to make full use of Manchester United’s troubles an unpredictable Premier League season.
Arsenal can certainly win the Premier League this season. There are perennial arguments against this, based on Arsenal underperforming against top sides or being plagued with injury or missing key players. This year, these arguments are not gone so much as they have been recast in a very particular light, i.e. current Premier League conditions.
Since the mighty Manchester United have come under David Moyes’ guidance, all has not been smooth sailing for the perennial title favorites. This has opened up a singular opportunity for United’s nearest challengers. Between City’s volatile record, Chelsea’s penchant for playing too safe in big matches, and Arsenal’s lingering problems in squad depth, these three teams are at the moment more or less equally (dis)advantaged in their title bids. Manchester City and Chelsea are in excellent form and have tremendously exciting players at their disposal, but Arsenal have Arsene Wenger and the weight of all his experience to steer them through this season. When it comes to the long haul, this may prove the deciding factor.
Of course, injury and circumstance will play their part as well, and that cannot be predicted. But what’s really at stake right now is not so much whether Arsenal will definitively win the Premier League; it’s whether they can. And that answer, I think, is a resounding yes. The chance has presented itself, and Arsenal are in a position to take it. How their bid ends is now the fan’s prerogative to watch the rest of what could prove to be a watershed Premier League season.
Debarshee Mitra is against the motion. He believes that lack of depth up front, ill luck on the injury front and the strengthening of title rivals could prevent them from winning the title.
Arsenal have arguably the best manager in the league but what turns the tide against them is their squad strength and depth. Manchester City and Chelsea surely have the edge in terms of quality in depth, while the Gunners are overloaded in midfield and lack enough cover at the back or in the striker department. Arsene Wenger’s hunt for a striker seems to have bore no fruit till now and that could mean a massive handicap going into the run-in. Podolski’s inability to lead the line on his own accompanied by Giroud’s frustrating form and Bendtner’s indifferent performances means Arsenal will have to muster goals from midfield if they are to stay atop.
Title rivals Manchester City have further strengthened this month with the return of Sergio Aguero and Chelsea have acquired the likes of Nemanja Matic and Mohamed Salah, and have also fine tuned their deficiencies earlier in the season by improving away from home and conceding less goals, respectively. Arsenal on their part haven’t done much wrong and continued to get results the hard way but with some very tricky fixtures in February and March coming thick and fast one after the other, their title challenge can fall apart within no time. Only good fortune with injuries can provide Arsenal the required impetus to win the league, else like most people’s predictions they will finish 3rd at best.
Amlan Majumdar is against the motion. He feels that the form of key players could start to wane in the wake of a tough fixture list in February.
Few would have thought at the start of the season, especially after their opening day defeat against Aston Villa, that Arsenal will be at the top of the table at the end of January. But despite such a start, there are still doubts about whether the Gunners can win the title and end their drought this season. Every team have already played 22 matches this season, so at this point there are no doubts that the London club will be in the top three and will be a part of, what is expected to be the most open title race in recent years.
But, there are still few questions marks that can be imposed on this Arsenal squad. When one compares them to the squad that Manchester City and Chelsea possess, the squad assembled by Arsene Wenger will be the third best. The Gunners do have a one of the best midfield at the moment and the defence has been solid since last the second part of last season, but the forward department is their apparent weak spot. Olivier Giroud has performed beyond expectations so far, but he has had to shoulder all the responsibility upfront. Arsenal donai??i??t have a back-up for the Frenchman, at least someone good enough to lead a side with title ambition. Theo Walcottai??i??s injury is also a big blow for the squad as the Englishman provided something contrastingly different in the midfield and his goal scoring ability will also be missed. Ramseyai??i??s early season form has been halted by fitness concerns and it is yet to be seen if he will be able to maintain that form once he returns.
Arsenal have a tough run of games in the next two months, where they face the likes of Liverpool, Manchester United, Chelsea, Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur along with Bayern Munich in the Champions League fixture. February and March are sure to stretch the squad and will be the defining phase of this season for the Gunners. It is perhaps during this period that we will see the Gunners fall behind in the race a bit and hand over the initiative to Manchester City and Chelsea.
Unless Arsene Wenger pulls out another Ozil-esque signing before the end of this transfer window, it seems unlikely that they will last this race. Arsenal need one more marque signing, or at least another reliable striker, to win the title this season.
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