Can Borussia Dortmund Beat Real Madrid Once Again?

On the 24th of April Dortmund will host Real Madrid in the first leg of the Champions League quarter finals at the Westfalenstadion, with the return leg to be played at the Bernabeau the week after that. With the big prize, the final at Wembley, now only being two games away this match-up is sure to attract a fair share of attention as part of the all German- Spanish Champions League semi- finals.

Recap of the journey

When the draw for the group stages was announced in Nyon before the start of the campaign it pitted together the champions of Spain (Real Madrid), England (Manchester City), the Netherlands (Ajax) and Germany (Dortmund) in one group, group D. Many observers and fans immediately called it the group of death and questioned how Dortmund would fare in such a difficult group. This was a pertinent question, especially in light of the results of the last two seasons where Dortmund did not exactly cover itself in glory in Europe, crashing out in the group stages of both the Europa League and the Champions League, in groups that could have been considered easier than the one they had been drawn in this season.

But fortunately for everyone whose heart beats for the black and yellow, this time things turned out very differently. After a shaky 1-0 win against Ajax, Dortmund found their groove and confidence and powered through the group stages, notably winning against Real Madrid at home and also playing very well against Manchester City and Ajax. In the end Dortmund finished the group of death in first place, and moved on into the round of sixteen having been unbeaten.

The round of 16 opponent was Shakhtar Donetsk, another champion, this time from Ukraine and a team that was considered as one of the dark horses of the competition. After drawing 2-2 in Ukraine, Dortmund won the home match by a convincing 3-0 score line. However, it should be noted that the Ukrainian club was still on winter break and had lost one of their best players, Willian, to Anzhi Makhachkala during the transfer window. So the match-up that had looked quite difficult on paper turned out to be a relatively easy pass for Dortmund and it was difficult to gauge how strong Dortmund exactly was compared to the rest of the teams still left in the competition.

Then, the quarterfinals draw gave a Malaga versus BVB match- up. This turned out to be a very tricky tie for the club from Germany. After a 0-0 in the away game, Dortmund won 3-2 at home thus progressing by the thinnest of margins, but only scored the two winning goals in the last four minutes of extra time. However, this game is noticeable because it was the first time that Dortmund really struggled in the competition, but still managed to pull out the needed win, despite not playing well. This should be a big mental boost to Dortmund players, who still perhaps lack some of the maturity and experience playing Champions League that the players from the other clubs have.

And now Dortmund meets Real Madrid in the semi final, itai??i??s the third time Dortmund meets the club from the Spanish capital in this competition in the current campaign.

So, what has changed since the last meeting between the two clubs? What will be the key battles?

Defensive liabilities

One area that is certainly going to be crucial for the match is Dortmundai??i??s defense. Felipe Santana scored the winning goal against Malaga (albeit be it from a pretty clear offside position), but during the rest of the match he and Neven Subotic struggled badly and looked quite unsure. Itai??i??s not just the defensive side of the game that has suffered from Mats Hummelsai??i?? absence, but also one of the big problems that could be observed was that neither Santana nor Subotic are able to adequately replace Hummelsai??i?? creative abilities when it comes to playing the ball out of the back. When a clever opponent with a decent tactical plan like Malaga shows up, Dortmund can run into big trouble. Malaga coach Pellegrini had learned from the first leg, and after the goalless draw in the first leg in which Dortmund dominated possession and missed a lot of chances, Malaga congested the Dortmund midfield. With neither of Dortmundai??i??s central defenders able to help out the midfielders play-making wise, this lead to a lot of Dortmund possession, but little threat to the Malaga goal, while Malaga sat back and then counter attacked with pace. With Santana and Subotic also looking quite uncomfortable at the back Dortmund conceded two quite cheap goals and Roman Weidenfeller had to pull out a top notch performance to keep Dortmund in the game.

However, Mats Hummelsai??i?? return to fitness should be a big boost to the side, as his ability to play accurate long balls out from defense is one of Dortmundai??i??s biggest strengths.

Long season

Another concern is Dortmundai??i??s rather thin squad, at least compared to the three behemoths still left in the competition. There is pretty much no strength in depth at the fullback position, so Marcel Schmelzer and Lukasz Piszczek are required to play every game or the quality of the squad drops quite drastically. The reliance on those two players is especially worrisome considering that Piszczek is carrying an injury that needs an operation that has already been delayed to the summer break. And over the last few weeks this has had a telling impact on his form. Similarly Marco Reus, who has been an integral part of Dortmundai??i??s champions league campaign, looks like he is desperate for a break, even though he scored a goal this weekend against Mainz.

Will playing first at home be a disadvantage for Dortmund?

One big question is how having the home game first will affect Dortmund. In the two previous rounds Dortmund first played away from home and then had the second leg at the Westfalenstadion. The perceived wisdom is that having the away leg first is advantageous because you then can play in front of your home fans knowing what result you need to progress. However, against Malaga we saw how this can backfire too. Malaga held a 0-0 in the first leg, which was their home-leg. This meant that any scoring draw would already have been enough for them to progress because of the away goals rule. So Malaga sat back, and then hit Dortmund on the counter and when they went 1-0 up this immediately meant that Dortmund had to score two to progress.

So having the first leg at home is not necessarily a disadvantage, provided Dortmund manages to win and/or keep a clean sheet. This would then put big pressure on Real Madrid at the Bernabeau and theyai??i??d have to attack.

Confidence amongst everyone at the club is fairly high, Dortmundai??i??s ability to go toe-to-toe with Real Madrid is unquestionable. While the end result is probably too close to call, it should make for a thrilling contest of football between two great teams, well worth watching even for those that are not fans of German or Spanish football!

******

Written by Guest Author Clarissa Judmann

Follow the author on Twitter: @fussballgedanke

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Exit mobile version