The draw for the first knockout round of both the UEFA Champions League and the Europa League was made last Friday and it resulted in some very interesting ties. As always in these early stages, a fair share of the ties look a bit one-sided or simply uninteresting on paper, but this time both the Champions League and the Europa League have the potential to turn conventional wisdom upside down.
TheHardTackle briefly analyses the five clashes with most potential to add a dash of excitement – games that every football fan should be looking forward to watching in February and March:
FC Porto vs Manchester City (Europa League)
This tie is undoubtedly very intriguing. The defending Europa League champions and two-time Champions League winners FC Porto will face Manchester City, the current Premier League leaders. Both teams were merely one point away from advancing to the knockout stages of the Champions League, but both saw themselves relegated to the Europa League on the final matchday.
In what was a pretty unlucky draw for both sides, two of the competition’s best teams will face each other, first in Portugal on February 16 and six days later in Manchester. Ai??After a disappointing start to the season, Porto have been improving a lot and look closer to the level they showed last season. As for City, they have reinforced their squad even more this season and they’ll be eager to claim their first ever European trophy.
It will be a clash of an established European household name (Porto) and a side looking to make a name for themselves (City), in a tie that promises to go down to the wire. Both teams have Ai??world class players in their ranks who can make the difference at any given moment (such as David Silva, Kun Aguero or Hulk). It is safe to say that the winner of this tie will stand a good chance of going all the way.
THT Players to Watch: Hulk (FC Porto), Kun Aguero (Manchester City)
THT Prediction: It will an extremely intense and hard-fought tie but Porto will shock the Premier League leaders and continue defending their Europa League title, with Hulk especially crucial in determining the result.
AC Milan vs Arsenal (Champions League)
This is arguably the most mouth-watering tie of the Champions League first knockout round. On the one hand, we have AC Milan, one of the greatest clubs in European football history, who have won this competition seven times in the past, most recently in 2007. On the other hand, Arsenal have never won the competition, but they have been a regular feature in the knockout rounds in the past 15 years and even beat Milan in this same round in 2007/2008.
On paper, the Serie A champions would have to be favorites as they seem to have the stronger squad, but their lackluster record in Europe in recent years (after they won in 2007), especially against English teams, raises some question marks, as does Zlatan Ibrahimovic’s habit of not stepping up in the Champions League’s knockout stages.
Arsenal didn’t have a great start to the season, but they seem to be recovering, with the likes of Alex Song and Robin Van Persie playing some of the best football of their lives. Ai??The London outfit will surely fancy their chance of upsetting the Italian giants once again, especially the return leg being played in Ashburton Grove on March 6 (the first leg is on February 15).
Both teams have squads that are known to be extremely injury prone, which makes it even harder to predict the winner. It will all come down to which team will be healthier and in better form come February. Milan’s lack of depth in defense might be an issue if the likes of Thiago, Nesta and Zambrotta can’t stay fit, as Arsenal’s offense has the quality and pace to wreak havoc. That said, you’d be tempted to give a fully fit Milan the edge.
THT Players to Watch: Zlatan Ibrahimovic (AC Milan) and Robin Van Persie (Arsenal)
THT Prediction: The tie will go down to the wire, but Zlatan Ibrahimovic will finally overcome his knockout stage woes and send Milan to the next stage with a stellar performance at the Emirates Stadium.
THT Blast from the Past:
Napoli vs Chelsea (Champions League)
Milan vs Arsenal is not the only Serie A vs Premier League clash to die for, in the first knockout stage of the Champions League. Napoli vs Chelsea promises to be equally exciting.
Napoli advanced to this stage by eliminating Manchester City in sensational fashion and they’ll have to beat another English side if they wish to continue their fairytale run in their first Champions League participation. The Italian side might be inexperienced in Europe, but when the likes of Hamsik, Lavezzi and Cavani are fit and on song they can beat anyone, as City will surely confirm.
Chelsea are a much more seasoned side and seem to have a stronger and essentially deeper squad, one that might be further reinforced in the January transfer window. But if anyone can cause an upset, it’s Napoli, and AndrAi?? Villas-Boas is surely aware of that. The first leg will be played at San Paolo on February 21, and the second leg at Stamford Bridge three weeks later.
Chelsea must obviously be considered favorites, but Napoli can’t be underestimated. This will certainly be a very exciting tie, as both Mazarri and Villas-Boas are known to make their teams play expansive attacking football. It is definitely one of the ties to watch.
THT Players to Watch: Marek Hamsik (Napoli), Juan Mata (Chelsea)
THT Prediction: Napoli will play great football and maybe even win the first leg at home, but in the end Chelsea’s superior experience at this level should prevail and the London side will advance to the quarter finals.
Ajax vs Manchester United (Europa League)
It is almost unbelievable that Ajax and Manchester United, two of the greatest clubs in European football history, will play each other in the Europa League, but it might actually be a blessing in disguise for football fans worldwide who are sure to be treated to a great spectacle between two great clubs.
Like Porto and City, United and Ajax were both eliminated from the Champions League in the last day, the latter in very suspicious circumstances, and both will want to live up to their reputations.
United’s recent history (three Champions League finals in four seasons) make them obvious favorites, but while they’re not the force they once were, Ajax have some of the world’s most exciting young players, namely the Dane Christian Eriksen, and they will surely make life very difficult for the English champions.
Both sides have a tradition of attacking football that goes back many decades and they will surely make this one of the greatest ties of the season in European football. The first leg will be played in Amsterdam on February 16 and everything will be decided one week later at Old Trafford.
THT Players to Watch: Christian Eriksen (Ajax), Luis Nani (Manchester United)
THT Prediction: Ajax will showcase their talent and brilliant football philosophy as they did in the Champions League, but their team is still very young and developing, making United the favorites to advance to the next round.
Stoke City vs Valencia
Much has been discussed over the past year about Barcelona would fare on a rainy wet night at the Britannia, following Andy Gray’s now infamous assertion that Lionel Messi and Barcelona couldn’t do it in a cold night at Stoke.
But while a Stoke vs Barcelona tie doesn’t seem likely in the near future, Valencia, the third best team in Spain, will have a chance to somewhat put this theory to test as they will visit the Britannia stadium in the first leg of the first knockout round of the Europa League on February 16. In terms of talent, Valencia are clearly superior, but we’ll see if Stoke’s physical brand of football and the conditions of their home ground are enough to cause an upset.
To be fair, Stoke aren’t exactly a side devoid of technical ability, contrary to popular belief. They actually played some good football during the group stages and would have a great chance to go far if they hadn’t been pitted against one of the best sides left in the competition, who were very close to advance in the Champions League.
The question remains, though: Can Valencia do it in a cold Thursday night at the Britannia? This is what we’ll find out in February.
THT Players to Watch: Peter Crouch (Stoke), Roberto Soldado (Valencia)
THT Prediction: Smart money would be on Valencia to eke out a win and progress past Stoke, into the next round.
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