As the 2013/14 Bundesliga season enters its homestretch, Bayer Leverkusen, VfL Wolfsburg, Borussia Monchengladbach and Mainz fight it out for the fourth spot. The winners of this mini battle will have a chance to qualify for the next edition of the Champions League and grab their share in the ever increasing revenue generated by this blue riband competition.
With Bayern Munich already confirmed as champions for this yearai??i??s Bundesliga, and Borussia Dortmund and Schalke 04 having all but sown up the automatic spots for next seasonai??i??s Champions League there is still a lot to play for as far as the battle at the top is concerned.
Here, TheHardTackle analyzes which team amongst these four has the best chance to get that elusive fourth spot.
Bayer Leverkusen
Current Position ai??i?? 4th; Points ai??i?? 51; Form Guide ai??i?? WLDWL (extreme left is the most recent result)
Games Left ai??i?? Nurnberg(a); Borussia Dortmund(h); Eintracht Frankfurt(a); Werder Bremen(h)
On December the 10th Bayer Leverkusen won away at Real Sociedad and qualified for the knockout stages of the Champions League. Three days earlier they beat Dortmund away from home and closed in to within 4 points of runaway leaders Bayern. To add to the good mood prevailing at the BayArena, Leverkusen were also in the quarterfinals of the DFB Pokal and their opponents were Bundesliga 2 side Kaiserslautern.
But this is where the season started to unravel for Sami Hyypia and his team as they were beaten in three successive league matches, a feat which they again accomplished a month later. To add to Hyypiaai??i??s misery they were also eliminated from both the cup competitions and despite a relative upsurge in form the Finn was relieved of his responsibilities after the defeat against Hamburg earlier this month.
The first of their remaining fixtures sees them travel to lowly Nurnberg and while this could be seen as an easy match on paper it might prove to be the exact opposite in reality. Der Ruhmreiche are in the midst of a titanic battle for survival and will certainly be up for a fight in front of their passionate fans and Leverkusen need to be really wary of this match. Next up will be Dortmund and this match will really tell whether Leverkusen have a future under new trainer Sascha Lewandowski. Dortmund have started playing some of their best football this season and will want revenge for the defeat they suffered at the hands of Leverkusen earlier this season.
The remaining two matches sees Leverkusen play against two middle table sides in the form of Frankfurt and Bremen. These two matches should be winnable considering that the opposition teams do not have a lot to play for but Leverkusen need to get something from the other two fixtures as well.
Prediction ai??i?? Leverkusen would probably end up getting seven points from their remaining four matches to finish on 58 points.
VfL Wolfsburg
Current Position ai??i?? 5th; Points ai??i?? 50; Form Guide ai??i?? WLWWD
Games Left ai??i?? Hamburg SV(a); SC Freiburg(h); VfB Stuttgart(a); Borussia Monchengladbach(h)
Die Wolfe are reportedly chasing the signatures of Mario Mandzukic, former star Edin Dzeko and Real Madrid youth prodigy Alvaro Morata and if Champions League football is secured for next season then it would be considerably easier to acquire these targets.
Atleast five matches remain for this Volkswagen Group owned club as they are still in the domestic cup. But for Dieter Hecking and his men the allure of top tier European football will matter the most.
To finish fourth, Wolfsburg need to negotiate relegation threatened Hamburg, Freiburg and Stuttgart. These games are never easy especially against clubs such as Hamburg and Stuttgart who generally have ambitions much the same that Wolfsburg have now. Hecking knows that if he can win two of these games then his team have a fighting chance going into the mouth watering last match of the season against Borussia Monchengladbach. This match could probably be the most important in financial terms as far as the Bundesliga is concerned this season.
Prediction ai??i?? Wolfsburg should probably get 6 points from their next three domestic fixtures which would mean that Champions League qualification would be in their hands when they face Gladbach.
Borussia Monchengladbach
Current Position ai??i?? 6th; Points ai??i?? 49; Form Guide ai??i?? DWWLW
Games Left ai??i?? SC Freiburg(a); Schalke 04(a); Mainz(h); VfL Wolfsburg(a)
From December 14th till March the 8th Gladbach went on a run of nine successive games without a win. That they are still within striking distance of fourth spot owes much to their electric start and a recent renaissance following the victory over Dortmund.
In the first part of the season Die Fohlen captured the imagination of many with their style of play and many observers compared their highly energetic displays to the other Borussia, of Dortmund. The front four of Juan Arango, Max Kruse, Raffael and Patrick Hermann were probably playing the best attacking football in Germany and trainer Lucien Favre looked to have built a side as good as that of 2011-12.
But these all action displays finally caught up with the relatively small squad of Gladbach and this could be the major reason behind their poor run in the winter. Favre also knows that Champions League football is vital to retain stars such as Kruse otherwise he will face a situation similar to when Marco Reus, Dante and Roman Neustadter left for greener pastures.
Favreai??i??s men do not have an easy run in as they face relegation threatened Freiburg before travelling to high flying Schalke. Things then get even more interesting as their last two matches are against fellow 4th place rivals Mainz and Wolfsburg.
Prediction ai??i?? Gladbach will have to win atleast three out of their remaining four games to have a chance of securing Champions League football for next season. A more realistic target would therefore be qualification for the Europa League.
Mainz
Current Position ai??i?? 7th; Points ai??i?? 47; Form Guide ai??i?? WLWLL
Games Left ai??i?? Borussia Dortmund(a); Nurnberg(h); Borussia Monchengladbach(a); Hamburg SV(h)
That Mainz still have a chance albeit a slim one of finishing fourth is all down to their form post the winter break. In the second half of the season they have collected an impressive 23 points out of the available 39.
Trainer Thomas Tuchel will hope that his impressive front duo of Shinji Okazaki and Maxim Choup-Moting can keep the goals flowing in the absence of key player Nicolai Muller. Tuchel knows that to stand any chance of Champions League qualification his side will have to win their remaining four fixtures. To compound his worries, his side probably faces the toughest run in amongst the four teams vying for the fourth spot.
Prediction ai??i?? If as expected Bayern and Dortmund reach the finals of the domestic cup then Mainz would secure Europa League football for next season by finishing seventh. Realistically it is all they can hope for.
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