Burnley vs West Ham United: Preview and Prediction

West Ham United will face off against Burnley in a relegation scrap at the foot of the table, with both teams coming into this one with key objectives to achieve.

Things are not looking good for Scott Parker and his Burnley side when it comes to having hope of surviving their relegation fight ahead of the crucial game against West Ham United this weekend. The Clarets are already 11 points away from the nearest safety spot currently occupied by Nottingham Forest, and they will hope the Tricky Trees drop points in their Friday night kick-off against Leeds United.

Having gone on a four-game unbeaten run, including three in the league, Burnley managed draws against Liverpool, Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur in that period. They were brought back to reality by Sunderland last Monday, and the Black Cats put Parker’s squad to the sword with a 3-0 scoreline.

With the Clarets’ hopes steadily fading away, their only hope is to keep winning games and hope their closest rivals, that is, West Ham and Nottingham Forest, steadily drop points between now and the end. While they missed a chance in the most recent gameweek as the Hammers dropped points, Burnley will host the Londoners on Saturday to correct their error.

Since the heavy defeat to relegation favourites Wolves, Nuno Espirito Santo has got this team performing as some of West Ham’s recent results showcase. The Hammers did follow that loss to the basement team with another defeat to relegation rivals Nottingham Forest. But after that, they managed to win their next three across all competitions.

Those included wins over Tottenham Hotspur and Sunderland, while the East London outfit looked primed to take three points at Stamford Bridge against Chelsea. West Ham put in a commanding first-half performance against the Blues to score twice through Jarrod Bowen and Crysencio Summerville, but capitulated in the second period.

Chelsea made their bench count and secured a 3-2 win in the end, leaving the Hammers helpless. A win was needed in the context of their relegation fight, but they must be targeting three points when they travel to Burnley. A victory will be needed while West Ham will be hoping Leeds United take points away from Forest in their clash on Friday night.

Team News & Tactics

Burnley

Scott Parker will have to make do without some of his key stars ahead of this relegation scrap with West Ham. Mike Tresor Ndayishimiye, Connor Roberts, Jordan Beyer, Zeki Amdouni, and Josh Cullen are all missing out with respective injuries.

Parker will rely on a back three with Bashir Humphreys, Maxime Esteve, and Axel Tuanzebe likely to feature there. Lesley Ugochukwu and Florentino Luis should manage the midfield setup, while Kyle Walker and Lucas Pires should feature in the wing-back roles.

Marcus Edwards and Armando Broja should feature in the front three, with top scorer Jaidon Anthony also part of the equation in the frontline.

Probable Lineup (3-4-3): Dubravka; Tuanzebe, Esteve, Humphreys; Walker, Ugochukwu, Florentino, Pires; Edwards, Broja, Anthony

West Ham United

The loss to Chelsea may have come at a big cost following Jean-Clair Todibo’s late dismissal for violent conduct as the defender grabbed Joao Pedro by his throat. The red card will now result in a mandatory three-match ban, with the Frenchman now set to miss this relegation scrap, along with two other games moving ahead.

Beyond Todibo, only Lukasz Fabianski is a doubt for this one, as the Polish keeper will be assessed before the game to determine his participation. Nuno Espirito Santo will probably contemplate some changes, but he will rely on the good form some of his attackers are in. He could use the experience of Callum Wilson for this fixture over January arrival Taty Castellanos.

Max Kilman should replace Todibo at the back, while Dinos Mavranopanos will keep his place in central defence, while Aaron Wan-Bissaka and El Hadji Malick Diouf should keep their full-back berths. Tomas Soucek and Mateus Fernandes should feature in the midfield, with Pablo operating in a role behind Wilson. The in-form Crysencio Summerville will be a certain starter alongside talisman Jarrod Bowen in the frontline.

Probable Lineup (4-2-3-1): Areola; Wan-Bissaka, Mavropanis, Kilman, Diouf; Fernandes, Soucek; Bowen, Pablo, Summerville; Wilson

Key Stats

  • Burnley are winless in their last seven Premier League games against West Ham United (D3 L4), having won four of their previous five against them (L1). The Hammers have won 53% of their Premier League games against Burnley (10/19). Among sides they’ve faced 10+ times in the competition, only against Watford (56%) and Fulham (57%) do they have a higher win rate.
  • Burnley golkeeper Martin Dubravka has made the most saves (97) and conceded the most goals (47) this season in the Premier League.
  • Burnley have failed to win their last 15 matches in the Premier League.
  • West Ham United have won three of their last four games across all competitions.
  • West Ham have already lost at Sunderland and Leeds this season. They have not lost against all three promoted clubs in a single campaign since 2009/10, which included a 2-1 defeat away to Burnley.

Player to Watch

Crysencio Summerville

Embed from Getty Images

Sometimes a form of a player directly helps in galvanising team performances, and that might be the case with Crysencio Summerville and West Ham United. The Dutch winger has three goals in as many games, which places him as one of the in-form stars in the division.

Summerville has scored in his last four appearances for West Ham in all competitions, having found the back of the net just once in his first 38 for the club. The last West Ham player to score in five successive matches was Jesse Lingard in March/April 2021.

However, it is he that Nuno Espirito Santo will place massive hopes on to deliver once again, while Summerville will hope to take his recent momentum into the weekend. The Dutch attacker will be key to West Ham’s chances on Saturday, as he has the chance to put Burnley to the sword.

Prediction

Burnley 1-2 West Ham United

Burnley have been resilient over the last many weeks as their results against some of the big opponents have showcased. However, this upcoming clash against West Ham may not have come at the right time for Scott Parker, especially after the heavy defeat to Sunderland.

While the Clarets have been in a good run of form at Turf Moor, the Hammers also have momentum on their side. More importantly, the Londoners will rely on some of their experienced performers to get the job done, with West Ham expected to take three points and try to close the gap with Nottingham Forest in a bid to escape relegation.

Leave Comment

Recommended

Welcome Back!

Login to your account below

Retrieve your password

Please enter your username or email address to reset your password.