Nottingham Forest’s rise to the top four of the Premier League this season has taken many by surprise. After years of battling relegation and mediocrity, they now rub shoulders with the league’s elite. But the question on everyone’s mind is: Can they hold on to this lofty position?
Their first season back wasn’t spectacular, as they finished 16th, although survival was a victory. The following season, despite more struggles and Steve Cooper’s dismissal, they managed to avoid relegation again, finishing 17th under Nuno Espírito Santo. At that time, even the most optimistic fans could not have imagined the following transformation.
The best UK betting offers have released the odds, and Nottingham Forest, currently in third place, have the odds of +500 to finish in the top 4. After being absent from the Premier League for 23 years, they finally returned in the 2021/22 season through the Championship playoffs. That triumph marked the end of a long struggle to regain top-flight status.
The Nuno Espirito Santo Effect
Nuno Espirito Santo’s arrival proved to be a turning point. Known for his pragmatic and defensive style, Nuno reshaped Forest into a team capable of competing with the best. While last season was about survival amid the threat of financial sanctions, this season has been about growth.
Forest’s defensive organisation has been remarkable. A solid backline led by Murillo and Nikola Milenkovic has been the cornerstone of their success. Murillo’s aggressive defending complements Milenkovic’s calm and sweeping style. Behind them, goalkeeper Matz Sels has been crucial, helping Forest concede just 19 goals in 16 games.
But it is not just the defence. Nuno’s tactics have embraced counter-attacking football, utilising the pace of wingers like Anthony Elanga and Callum Hudson-Odoi. Since Nuno’s arrival, Chris Wood, Forest’s reliable target man, has been pivotal in converting chances, already scoring 21 goals.
Nottingham Forest and A Different Style of Play
In a league dominated by possession-based teams, Forest’s approach stands out. They rank among the lowest in the Premier League for possession and passing accuracy but excel in defensive solidity and counter-attacking efficiency. Nuno’s tactics prioritise sitting back, absorbing pressure, and hitting teams on the break.
Forest’s reliance on set pieces has also been a significant factor. They are among the league leaders in goals scored from headers and set pieces, showcasing their aerial strength.
Recent Form and Momentum
The current campaign has been nothing short of historic for Nottingham Forest. They have already amassed 37 points from 19 games, equalling their best-ever start to a Premier League season since 1994/95. A recent 3-0 win over Wolverhampton Wanderers marked their fifth consecutive victory, further solidifying their place in the top four, and the upcoming game against Liverpool is a golden opportunity for another big scalp.
While their performances have been consistent, the league’s unpredictability means challenges lie ahead. Forest’s squad depth will be tested as injuries and suspensions come into play. Their ability to maintain this level of performance against stronger squads like Liverpool, Arsenal, and Chelsea will be crucial in determining their final position.
Can Nottingham Forest Maintain Their Top-Four Spot?
History provides some hope. Teams in Forest’s position at the halfway mark of the season have a reasonable chance of securing a top-four finish. However, the competition is fierce. Arsenal, Chelsea, and Newcastle United all have stronger squads and more experience in high-stakes games.
Forest’s reliance on counter-attacking and set-pieces has worked well so far, but it could also be their achilles heel. Opponents will adapt, and Forest will need to find alternatie ways to win matches. Improving their attacking efficiency and creating more chances from open play will be key areas to address.
Even if a top-four finish proves elusive, a spot in European competition remains a realistic goal. The UEFA Europa League or UEFA Europa Conference League would still represent significant progress for a club battling relegation not long ago. Success in domestic cup competitions could also offer another route into Europe.
Final Words
Forest’s resurgence has reignited the passion of their supporters. The bond between the team and its fans has grown stronger, fueled by the belief that anything is possible. Nuno Espírito Santo’s calm leadership has provided stability, while the players’ commitment on the pitch has inspired confidence.
As the season progresses, the question is not just whether Forest can sustain their form but how far they can go. Champions League football might still be a long shot. But the fact it is being discussed shows how far the club has come.