World Cup 2014: Are Germany Really Favorites?

World Cup: Are Germany Really Favorites?

Weai??i??re less than 100 days away from the World Cup! Pulses are racing, calendars are marked, and to celebrate this glorious occasion, national teams decided to play a round of friendlies this week. Billed as the last chance for fringe players to win a seat on the plane to Brazil, these skirmishes added little to the mix, with many top players choosing to stay with their clubs and not risk injury or fatigue.

For the Germans, however, this brief international break highlighted a real problem. Though the perennial semi-finalists are among the tournament favorites this time around, much of their first-choice team is either injured or out of form, leaving head coach Joachim LAi??w with serious worries. As he said before Wednesdayai??i??s match against Chile, ai???On paper, we have a top team, but at the moment it looks different in reality.ai??? His squad for the friendly featured a curious mix of the usual suspects (six Bayern players, Mesut Ai??zil, Per Mertesacker, etc.) and surprise inclusions (Shkodran Mustafi, AndrAi?? Hahn, and Matthias Ginter). That LAi??w was forced to call up the likes of Mustafi and Hahn shows how thinly stretched the men at his disposal are.

What is keeping Jogi up at night are the players in the following four categories: the injured, the recuperating, the out-of-form, and the benched. Though June 12 is still far enough away for LAi??w to avoid total insomnia, letai??i??s take a closer look at Germanyai??i??s depleted squad to break down the problem and muse on who the strongest eleven come summertime are.

The Injured

When Sami Khedira went down in Germanyai??i??s 1-1 friendly draw against Italy in mid-November, it was a heavy blow for his nationai??i??s World Cup prospects. At the heart of the midfield in both World Cup 2010 and Euro 2012, the Real Madrid player was ruled out for six months with a torn ACL. But his recovery has been speedier than expected, with Madrid coach Carlo Ancelotti expecting the player back on the pitch before the end of the season. Even so, Khedira will have endured a long spell on the sidelines and his match fitness will be seriously under question.

Another midfield victim of international friendlies, Borussia Dortmundai??i??s Ilkay GA?ndogan, has been out of action since mid-August, suffering from a mysterious nerve injury in his back that seems to have no intention of healing. It is unknown if he will even be fit for the World Cup, and even if he were, he would be extremely rusty, having spent almost a year out. His companion in the Dortmund midfield, Sven Bender, is another doubt. Despite playing through multiple broken noses and earning the nickname ai???Iron Manni,ai??? Bender was finally laid low last month by an inflamed pubic joint (of all things), which will keep him out of JA?rgen Kloppai??i??s side until the tail end of the season.

Finally, there is the all-but-forgotten Holger Badstuber, who was Germanyai??i??s first-choice center-back in Euro 2012 but has not kicked a ball for club or country since December 2012. He is not expected to return for Bayern until next season, and is therefore sadly out of the World Cup contention.

The Recuperating

These players will be fit for the World Cupai??i??football gods be willingai??i??but are still recovering from relatively long spells on the sidelines. Mats Hummels finally returned some stability to the Dortmund back four last weekend against NA?rnberg, in what was hopefully the first appearance of many. In the heart of midfield, one of the men most closely identified with the German national team is in the same boat as Hummels. Bastian Schweinsteiger missed nine games for Bayern Munich and has only recently taken up his place once more as the engine of the Bayern machine.

The troubles at the back are overshadowed by Germanyai??i??s problems at the front. Both Mario Gomez and Miroslav Klose have been injured for months and are only just returning to action. Klose started against Chile, and promised before the game that by June he would be back to top form. However, Germanyai??i??s joint all-time top scorer will turn 36 just three days before the start of the competition, an unbelievable age for a striker at a top level. As admirable as Klose is, his fitness and his stamina might not be quite up to the standard Germany need.

Gomez was not in the squad against Chile, having only recently returned to training from a five-month knee injury. He allegedly showed up to Fiorentina training and ai???introducedai??? himself to his teammates, ai???Hello, Iai??i??m Mario, and Iai??i??m a striker!ai??? Nevertheless, unless Stefan KieAYling and LAi??w suddenly fall in love and reconcile, Klose and Gomez remain Germanyai??i??s best bets to lead the line.

The Out-of-Sorts

Coinciding with the recent slide by many of the Bundesligaai??i??s top teams, many a national team player is out of form of late. Schalkeai??i??s Julian Draxler is a primary example. His recent ankle injury aside, the 20-year-old has failed to improve on his massive potential after a breakthrough season last year. He has scored only once from 15 starts this entire seasonai??i??compared to 10 last year. Over at neighboring MAi??nchengladbach, Max Kruse, another talent who shone last season, has suffered a dry spell of late, coinciding with Gladbachai??i??s dip in form. Though he has notched up eight goals and seven assists so far, the former Freiburg man has not scored for eight games, which has hurt his chances for a spot in LAi??wai??i??s team.

Yet the player with the highest profile does not ply his trade in the Bundesliga. Mesut Ai??zilai??i??s recent troubles have dominated headlines in Germany and in England, with fatigue, culture shock, and his consistency all touted as explanations for his recent lack of luster. By his own admission, Ai??zil has struggled to adapt to the physicality and the demanding schedule of the Premier League. After missing a penalty against Bayern Munich and fading badly for the rest of the match, the 25-year-old was visibly shaken and upset, and was unfairly made a scapegoat after Germanyai??i??s dreary performance against Chile, booed off the pitch by fans. His team has leapt to his defense, but both ArsA?ne Wenger and LAi??w will be hoping that the midfield maestro can bounce back soon.

The Benched

Finally, there are AndrAi?? SchA?rrle and Lukas Podolski, two indubitably talented players who simply do not feature enough for their clubs. SchA?rrle scored a sublime hat trick for Chelsea against Fulham this past weekend, which may mean more minutes for him, though it is no guarantee under Mourinho. Podolski, who has scored three goals in his last four starts, has started only five times this season in the league for Arsenal. With Marco Reus dazzling on the left flank for Dortmund, Podolski might find himself on the bench come summer.

The Team

With such a damaged team, who can Jogi turn to? Manuel Neuer will certainly be in goal, while in front of him, LAi??w will pick two from Mertesacker, Boateng, and Hummels. The flanks grow trickier. If LAi??w decides to play Philipp Lahm in midfield, where the captain has been this year for Bayern, he may have to call up Dortmundai??i??s golden boy, Kevin GroAYkreutz, for right-back, with Marcel Schmelzer, also Dortmund, down the left.

In the midfield, LAi??w has more options. It may be safest to operate with national team stalwarts Lahm and Schweinsteiger in the middle, leaving a tough choice between Toni Kroos, who has been sensational this season for Bayern, and Ai??zil. Should LAi??w feel adventurous (an unlikely scenario, but still), he could sacrifice Schweinsteiger for Kroos, and pair him with Ai??zil for an offensive-minded team. On current form, Reus should be able to fight off competition from Draxler, SchA?rrle, and Podolski for the starting spot down the left flank, while Thomas MA?ller, who always shines brightest in international competition, will hold off Mario GAi??tze to play down the right. Up front, Klose will lead the line and should be able to break Gerd MA?llerai??i??s record for all-time German top scorer.

It will be a long season for Germanyai??i??s players, particularly the ones playing for Bayern, with an exciting, challenging summer to follow. As World Cup fever mounts, it will be important for all of them to stay healthy and fit, with eyes on the prize.

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Exit mobile version