The fierce competition in the 2013-14 Barclays Premier League season has meant that every game counts towards Liverpool‘s push for a place in the Champions League. Some games, however, can be the difference between the Top 4 or bust.
While it is fair to point out that “a win is a win” and that great teams are those that can “win while playing below their best”, underlying theme that has been a major part of Liverpool’s season is that of progress. The usual arguments point to the successful partnership up front and the improvement of the likes of Jordan Henderson – but it is the ability to win games that would not have been won in previous years that has ensured that Liverpool are still within touching distance of top spot in the Premier League at the end of February, let alone a place in the Top 4.
Over the last 5 years, it has been found that a total of approximately 70 points is required at the end of the season in order to qualify for the Champions League. Prior to Liverpool entertaining Swansea City at Anfield, they have notched up a total of 53 points over 26 games, an average of 2.04 points per game. The Reds are currently 8 points short of their total in 2012-13.
Unlike last season, Liverpool have already defeated defending champions Manchester United and Arsenal at home. They have also finally proved at they can do it in a windy night (evening, rather) at Stoke; while previous Liverpool squads may have fallen apart after a miserable first half performance at home to Aston Villa. Keeping improvement over the 2012-13 season as a measure of Liverpool’s success, here is a look at 5 games that will prove to be crucial when supporters count the points on May 11.
Southampton v/s Liverpool FC, March 1
Result in 2012-13: Lost 3-1
Just as Liverpool have now proven that they can, in fact, win at Stoke City; the Reds now need to do likewise at England’s south coast. Mauricio Pochettino’s Southampton have shown Liverpool (and other top teams) on more than one occasion what constant high pressing for 90 minutes can do.
While Southampton invested wisely in the previous summer, the success of their season was heavily dependent on the form and fitness of their central midfield pairing of Morgan Schneiderlin and Victor Wanyama. Injuries to the pair accompanied by a stunning dip in form have meant that the Saints literally have nothing left to play for at the end of February. Knocked out of the cups and safely lodged in midtable with little threat of relegation, this could be the opportunity for the Reds to right the wrongs of last season’s 3-1 defeat at St Mary’s. The Reds have not won there since 2003 – a record that Brendan Rodgers’ side would like to correct.
Manchester United v/s Liverpool FC, March 16
Result in 2012-13: Lost 2-1
Prior to Swansea City’s visit to Anfield, Liverpool lie 8 points ahead of Manchester United in the league with a game in hand. The fixture between the two sides on March 16 is the reason why this lead of 8 points cannot be considered an insurmountable one.
The last time Liverpool did the league double over Manchester United, it turned out to be their highest league finish in recent memory. The Reds have already beaten the defending champions earlier this season at Anfield; and the fact that visiting teams have begun to take a liking for Old Trafford’s turf makes this the perfect opportunity. Even without the presence of Sir Alex Ferguson in the touchline, the addition of Juan Mata and the title winning pedigree of a the likes of Wayne Rooney and Robin van Persie makes them a significant factor in the race for the Top 4. Putting Manchester United at even greater danger of not making it to Europe should be motivation enough for the likes of Steven Gerrard and Luis Suarez.
Liverpool FC v/s Tottenham Hotspur, March 30
Result in 2012-13: Won 3-2
Liverpool’s 5-0 defeat of Tottenham Hotspur was arguably the best away performance of the season thus far. Despite having not lived up to their own supporters’ high expectations at the start of the season, Spurs still lie just 3 points behind Liverpool in the league table. From the Reds’ point of view, taking three points from this fixture (and doing the league double over Spurs, as against 3 pts from 2 games in 2012-13) will go a long way in keeping some distance in the fight for the spot in the Top 4.
Liverpool FC v/s Chelsea, April 26
Result in 2012-13: Drew 2-2
Two of the top three teams at the top of the league are yet to visit Anfield. While Manchester City’s visit to Anfield is as important as any other, Jose Mourinho’s first visit to Anfield in 6 years assumes greater significance. There would be just two rounds of fixtures left after this one; meaning Chelsea’s visit to Anfield is an opportunity to not just seal a place in the Champions League, but also to ruffle a few feathers as far as the title race is concerned.
Moreover, Chelsea represent the calibre of teams that will visit Anfield next season from all over Europe should the Reds make it to the Champions League. Liverpool need to show that they can compete with and defeat the big boys at home in more than one competition if they are to progress further.
Crystal Palace v/s Liverpool FC, May 3
Result in 2012-13: N/A
Even though Liverpool have finally proven that they can win a league game at the Britannia Stadium, the Reds have had a hard time dealing with the Stoke City while Tony Pulis was manager. The man has now returned to management in the Premier League and has turned Crystal Palace from favourites for relegation to favourites for safety.
Tony Pulis’ squads generally do a pretty good impression of a rugby league side whenever they come up against Liverpool, but tend to frustrate the Reds more when they are set up for a draw. This has helped Liverpool in their League Cup win over Stoke in 2011; and the fact that Crystal Palace could still be embroiled in the midst of a relegation dogfight come the first week of May could mean that both teams will be looking for 3 points. 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