After last week’s first leg of the Champions League quarterfinals, FC Barcelona, Bayern Munich, Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund have emerged as odds-on favorites to advance to the semifinals, as expected even before the matches were played. But while Real Madrid seem like a lock to advance, the other three ties still hang in the balance to some extent, with PSG, Juventus and Malaga having at least a puncher’s chance to reverse their fortunes.
The following are five things to watch out for ahead of the second leg ties:
Will Bayern Munich remain focused?
Like in their tie against Arsenal, Bayern got off to a great start with an emphatic first leg win putting them in a great position to advance. Against Arsenal, though, a very sloppy second leg performance almost saw the Bavarians relinquish their lead and be eliminated. This time they’re playing the second leg on the road after a dominant 2-0 home win and merely days after celebrating the Bundesliga title, which is the perfect opportunity to see if they have learnt their lesson.
Juventus are one of the best sides in Europe themselves and any potential complacency from Bayern is bound to be ruthlessly punished by Pirlo and co. Bayern have developed a sort of ‘European bottlers’ reputation after losing two finals in the past three years and blowing a seemingly comfortable lead against Inter in the year they did not reach the final, and they will be looking to put that label to bed this year, where they’re once again one of the favorites for the title.
Can Malaga prolong their European experience?
If Malaga can’t get a positive result in Germany, their Champions League experience will be over, not only for this year, but at least until 2014-2015 after UEFA punished them for unpaid wages. That will surely be an extra incentive to pull off an improbable upset over favorites Dortmund. A 0-0 home draw isn’t exactly an ideal result, but not a bad one either especially considering that the Germans had the best chances to score and Willy Caballero had a lot of work to do.
A goal in Germany would be enough for Malaga to be in an excellent position to advance, especially considering that Dortmund are not very experienced at this level either, with most of their players making their debut in the Champions League knockout stages this year and being quite young despite their undoubted talent. This tie is far from settled despite Dortmund’s apparent superiority.
Can Burak Yilmaz get into contention for top scorer?
In each of the past four seasons, the top scorer of the Champions League has been the same man: Lionel Messi. This year, however, Cristiano Ronaldo is currently in the lead with 9 goals, followed by Messi with 8 and Galatasaray’s Burak Yilmaz with 8 as well. This week’s match will almost inevitably be Yilmaz’s last chance to add to his tally and if he could score a brace he would be in a decent position to end the season as the competition’s top scorer (especially assuming Messi and Ronaldo don’t score this week). Even one goal would be enough to give him a slight chance, although it’d require Ronaldo not scoring in the semis and Messi not scoring more than one goal. Either way, unless Galatasaray stage a highly improbable comeback, this will be the last chance for Burak Yilmaz to cap off a quite extraordinary season at the European level.
Can Zlatan Ibrahimovic Step up?
Ai??The Swedish striker has often been accused of not stepping up to the plate in the Champions League knockout rounds, an assertion that the numbers back fully. He will get another chance to prove his detractors wrong this week though, at the home of his old club FC Barcelona. There’s no doubt Zlatan will be eager to get some measure of revenge against the club who sold him and replaced him with David Villa back in the summer of 2010, even if Pep Guardiola is no longer the manager, but the question is whether he can deliver. PSG will most definitely need an inspired Ibrahimovic performance to win this tie at Camp Nou after a 2-2 draw at the Parc des Princes.
The absences of both Puyol and Mascherano will only make Zlatan’s task easier as he aims to become a hero for the French side and continue his quest to finally win a Champions League.
Will Messi play? Can Barcelona win without Messi?
This is the biggest question mark at the moment. Lionel Messi injured his knee and had to leave at half time in Paris and he has still not recovered fully although it’s not as bad as initially feared. Reports suggest that the world’s best player will start on the bench. His replacement Cesc Fabregas scored a hat trick against Mallorca on the weekend and played great, but PSG are a whole different caliber of opponent. Will Tito Vilanova risk Messi for this match?
If Messi starts from the bench, the question is whether Barcelona can prove to some critics that they’re not Messi-dependent and still come away with the win in the end.
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