This midweek, round 20 of La Liga will be played. Real Madrid can clinch the league title with a win at San MamAi??s, while the fight for European places and to avoid relegation will know yet another exciting chapter.Ai??Claiming this round is decisive would be an understatement. At least the title and relegation might be decided depending on the outcome of the matches.
GETAFE C.F.
v
RACING SANTANDER
Coliseu Alfonso Perez, Madrid
May 1, 2012; Ai??12:00 Hrs GMT
***
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This is certainly the least important and interesting match of this round. Racing are already relegated, while Getafe’s position in midtable seems pretty assured as well. The match is still more important for Luis Garcia’s outfit, as Ai??a win could give them some hope of reaching the Europa League next season, although it is not very likely.
After losing their last two matches, Getafe will be glad to face what is surely the least dangerous team in La Liga. Racing have been nothing short of dire lately. Two years ago, their new millionaire owner promised them the world; now he is gone and Racing will be going to the second division. Expect Getafe to inflict even more pain on Racing, especially after the scenes of the last matchday of 2008/2009, where Racing tried (but failed) to get Getafe relegated to the second division.
THT Prediction: Getafe 3-0 Racing Santander
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GRANADA C.F.
v
R.C.D. ESPANYOL
Los CA?rmenes, Granada
May 1, 2012; Ai??18:00 Hrs GMT
***
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This is one of the matches where the fight against relegation will be decided. Granada currently hold a five point lead over Ai??Zaragoza and Sporting Gijon and a home win against Espanyol would put them only two points Ai??away fromAi??salvationAi??at worst, and could even ensure their stay in the first division if both Sporting and Zaragoza fail to win their games. A defeat or a draw, on the other hand, would leave everything to be decided in the last two matches, a situation Granada will want to avoid at all costs given that they will still play against Real Madrid.
Espanyol, on the other hand, are completely comfortable in the table and will have no pressure at all going into this match. They did lose to Sporting on the weekend, though, and they will try to rectify that image. Ai??But the game is far more important for Abel Resino’s side; the manager described it as the game of the season and he’s absolutely right. A great part of Granada’s hopes will be played in this match.
THT Prediction: Granada 1-1 Espanyol
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SPORTING GIJON
v
VILLAREAL C.F.
Estadio El MolinA?n
May 1, 2012; 20:00 Hrs GMT
***
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This is surely the most important match of this round, a true relegation six pointer. Sporting are currently 19th with 34 points and Villareal 17th with 38 points. If the hosts manage to win, they will blow everything wide open. A win for Villareal and it’s game over for Sporting and immediate salvation for the Yellow Submarines.
Only a win is enough for Javier Clemente’s side to continue dreaming, while avoiding defeat should be enough for an injury-ridden Villareal side. Sporting have won 3 of their last 4 games (with the only defeat at the Bernabeu) and are riding a high wave of confidence into this match. Bilic and De Las Cuevas have finally found some scoring form of late and they will need to be at their best in midweek.
Villareal are also in decent form, with one win and three draws in their last four matches, but a defeat here would put them in serious jeopardy, especially since their last two games are against Valencia and AtlAi??tico. Regardless of what happens, there’s no doubt that this will be a pivotal game in this year’s race against relegation.
THT Prediction: Sporting Gijon 2-1 Villareal C.F.
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ATLAi??TICO MADRID
v
REAL SOCIEDAD
Vicente CaldAi??ron, Madrid
May 2, 2012; 18:00 Hrs GMT
***
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This is another one of the few matches of this round where there is not much to play for. Real Sociedad are already safe, while AtlAi??tico Madrid already have their heads on the Europa League final against Athletic Bilbao. But the colconheros still have a slim chance to reach the Champions League, although they’re six points away from Malaga and Valencia.
Diego Simeone will surely try to convince his players that a place in the top 4 is still possible, which is the only motivation AtlAi??tico could have for this match. Ai??Radamel Falcao has been in extraordinary form lately and has already racked up 23 goals in La Liga this season, almost half of the team’s total, including a last minute equalizer on the weekend against Betis. He will once again spearhead AtlAi??tico attack.
Real Sociedad have nothing to lose and will try to leave a good final image in the last few matches of this year’s La Liga.
THT Prediction: AtlAi??tico Madrid 2-0 Real Sociedad
R.C.D. MALLORCA
v
RAYO VALLECANO
Estadio Iberostar, Mallorca
May 2, 2012; 20:00 Hrs GMT
***
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A few weeks ago, Rayo Vallecano seemed completely safe from relegation, but after four consecutive defeats they find themselves only six points above Zaragoza and Sporting. It’s still a somewhat safe cushion, but things could go horribly wrong if they can’t put an end to this losing streak. Ai??The last one of this defeat was a resounding 0-7 home defeat to Barcelona on the weekend, a result that is sure to leave some psychological scars on the team. Another defeat at the Iberostar would put Ramon Sandoval’s team in serious problems, especially if one or both of Zaragoza and Sporting win their matches. The pressure couldn’t be higher for the Madrid-based club, whose manager attributed their poor from to fatigue due to their very small squad.
But Mallorca have ambition of their own. After flirting with relegation for much of the season, they’re now merely 3 points away from a European spot and they will do everything to get it. Joaquin Caparros has been doing a fantastic job and he will want to go even further and send Mallorca to Europe. A very intense game is expected in Mallorca, with both European qualification and survival at stake.
THT Prediction: Mallorca 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
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SEVILLA C.F.
v
REAL BETIS
Estadio Sanchez Pijuan, Sevilla
May 2, 2012; 20:00 Hrs GMT
***
.
There might not be much at stake in this match in terms of league position, but a derby is always a derby and Sevilla derby is one of the most intense derbies in the world. No one will accept defeat. Besides, a Betis win at the Sanchez Pijuan would see them catch their city rivals in the table, an opportunity they will not want to waste.
Betis have been playing far better than Sevilla in recent weeks and are in much better shape as far as injuries are concerned, but the form book goes out the window in derbies and everything can happen. Tickets for the derby sold out in less than three hours, which shows just how exciting supporters from both sides are.
Sevilla play a possession based football, while Betis are known for their pace and quality transition, which will make this derby an excellent contrast of styles and surely one of the matches to watch in this round.
THT Prediction: Sevilla 1-2 Betis
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FC BARCELONA
v
MALAGA C.F.
Camp Nou, Barcelona
May 2, 2012; 20:00 Hrs GMT
***
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Barcelona will play two hours before Real Madrid and they will want to at least postpone Real Madrid’s title celebrations. A defeat against Malaga would immediately make Real Madrid champions. But judging by this weekend’s performance in Vallecas, Barcelona are determined to force Real Madrid to earn their title and will not give away anything. Besides, the team wants to help Lionel Messi break Gerd Muller’s European record of 67 goals in a single season – Messi has 65 with four matches remaining. They may also want to give Pep Guardiola a proper send-off in the last few matches of the season.
Malaga are on a three-way fight with Levante and Valencia for two Champions League spots; they’re even on points with Valencia and three points ahead of Levante. They seemed set to take third place, but they couldn’t keep up their great form and now even fourth place might be in jeopardy. A point at Camp Nou (or, even better, a win) would be crucial for the Andalucians. Pellegrini has already led his team to a draw at the Bernabeu, so he’ll believe in his chances at Camp Nou as well. After a 1-0 win over Valencia at the weekend, Malaga will be quite confident ahead of their trip to Barcelona. They have shown many times this season that they can be deadly on the counter and have the weapons to hurt Barcelona.
THT Prediction: Barcelona 4-2 Malaga C.F.
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REAL ZARAGOZA
v
U.C.D LEVANTE
Ai??La Romareda, Zaragoza
May 2, 2012; 20:00 Hrs GMT
***
.
This is another match where everything will be at stake. Zaragoza are four points away from safety and only a win here will give them realistic hopes of survival. Even that might not be quite enough if Villareal and Granada also win their games. Zaragoza have been on a fantastic comeback over the past month and they now have two decisive home games, against Levante and Racing, where only six points are a satisfactory outcome. Postiga, Aranda and co. have been in great form and they will need to continue like that on Wednesday.
Levante have high aspirations of their own and they will not roll over to Zaragoza. The Valencians are only three points away from a Champions League spot next season and they are allowed to dream of what would be by far the greatest achievement in the club’s history. KonAi??’s injury might be too big a blow for Levante, though, as he has been clearly their best player during the season.
Either Zaragoza’s survival hopes or Levante’s Champions League dream will be spoiled in this match, or even both in case of a draw.
Prediction: ZaragozaAi??2-1 Levante
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VALENCIA C.F.
Ai??v
Ai??C.A. OSASUNA
Estadio Mestalla, Valencia
Ai??May 2, 2012; 22:00 Hrs GMT
***
After a disappointing elimination from the Europa League at the hands of AtlAi??tico Madrid and a defeat on the weekend against Malaga, Unai Ai??mery knows that his only chance of staying at Valencia is to secure the third place in the league, which makes winning this match absolutely crucial. Another negative result would be the final blow to Emery and his team and could even see them miss the top 4 altogether. Ai??The pressure is fully on Valencia, as the Mestalla crowd will not tolerate further failure.
Osasuna, on the other hand, have long met their season goals but they have a very good chance to get a Europa League spot for next season and they will not want to waste it. Only one point separates them from AtlAi??tico in sixth place and a win at Mestalla will keep them in the race. Both teams have been in poor form lately and it will all come down to who can snap out of it earlier, with Valencia having the obvious home advantage.
THT Prediction: Valencia 1-0 Osasuna
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ATHLETIC BILBAO
v
REAL MADRID C.F.
Estadio San MamAi??s
May 2, 2012; 22:00 Hrs GMT
***
The last match of this round might very well be the one where Real Madrid clinch the title. Assuming Barcelona beat Malaga, Real Madrid need a win at San MamAi??s to be immediately crowned champions.
But Marcelo Bielsa surely has different ideas. He has taken his team to two Cup finals this season (Copa and Europa League) and will be eager to get a victory over one of Spain’s big two to further cement his credentials. After a tiresome Europa League tie, Athletic lost 2-0 to Zaragoza on the weekend, but their intensity will surely be completely different (for the better) against the soon-to-be-crowned champions.
Real Madrid have historically had difficulties at San MamAi??s and it shouldn’t be any different this time, even if JosAi?? Mourinho has a superstar roster at his disposal. Ai??Real might still have to wait before celebrating.
THT Prediction: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Real Madrid
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