v
AS ROMA
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Italy
March 24, 2012 – 1700 GMT
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AC Milan face a difficult 14 days, both in Serie A and in Europe, with key clashes determining the final outcome of this season. While Barcelona awaits AC Milan next midweek, AS Roma will try to make their life as miserable as possible in Serie A. Their last match ended in an away victory over Parma, a match which saw a wonder-goal from Emanuelson.
AS Roma, on the other hand, have stuttered in their promise to deliver a Barcelona-esque mentality. Although they are coming off two successive victories, they are not exactly on top of their game presently and a spirited performance from Milan can force Roma out of a possible Champions League spot next year.
Team News and Tactical Brief
AC Milan
AC Milan will be missing Pato, Strasser, Cassano, Abate, Robinho,Ai?? Roma and Flamini due to injury and Antonini due to suspension. With such a long list of absentees, Milan needs proper squad rotation in order to give rest to over-used players such as Thiago Silva – players who are very crucial to the team’s aspirations this season. While Gattuso has returned to the first team, it will still take some time to incorporate him in the first team. On a brighter note, Nesta, Merkel and Boateng has resumed training and is likely to take the field for AC Milan sooner rather than later.
Milan will field a 4-3-1-2 formation with Bonera, Mexes, Silva and Mesbah forming the backline. Injury to Abate has led to the appearance of Bonera in the line-up, with Mexes too returning after his ill-advised punch on Boriello in the match against Juventus. The only other recognized center-back for AC Milan is Yepes, who might be called on to give Thiago Silva a breather in the second half. Mesbah has more or less acquired the faith of Allegri to start for Milan and with his goal in the previous match, is looking a much stable character now.
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Abbiati continues under the bars, with van Bommel as the defensive screen in front of the defense line. Nocerino, a summer acquisition, and Aquilani, on loan from Liverpool, will play on the left and right of midfield respectively. Both the players are free-scoring, with Nocerino being the more effective of the two. The ex-Juve player has helped AC Milan immensely since his transfer, putting an end to all the doubters out there.
Emanuelson has been reborn in the trequartista position for AC Milan. His goal in the last match against Parma has to be considered as one of the top goals not only for Milan but also for Serie A. Bubbling with the new-found confidence, he has formed an effective partnership with Ibrahimovic, who seems to be in a league of his own. The forward line sees him alongside El Shaarawy, who also has opened his score-sheet since his arrival.
Probable Starting Line-up (4-3-1-2): Abbiati(GK); Bonera, Mexes, Silva, Mesbah; Aquilani, Van Bommel, Nocerino; Emanuelson; Ibrahimovic, El Shaarawy
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AS Roma
AS Roma will be missing the likes of Burdisso and Juan through injury. Juan suffered a second-degree medical knee ligament injury, which will keep him out of action till at least the month of May. In the previous meeting between these two sides, AC Milan edged AS Roma by a margin of 2-3, wherein a brace from Ibrahimovic and a solitary goal from Nesta condemned Roma to their second defeat at home, at that stage of the campaign. However, lot has happened since then – while AS Roma went on to lose both their derbies against Lazio, AC Milan silently climbed to the top spot in Serie A.
Roma will field a 4-3-1-2 formation, similar to Milan’s, with Stekelenburg manning the posts this time. AS Roma has toggled between 4-3-3 and 4-3-1-2 this season; however, once the match starts, they tend to pack the midfield with players and deploy a narrow formation with only two players in a wide position. Their center-back pair usually remains static throughout the match, with the left and right back players moving up and down the pitch.
The backline will be formed by Taddei, Kjaer, Heinze and Angel. De Rossi will act as a defensive midfielder for this game, with Gago moving on to the right of midfield. The injury-prone Pjanic will play on the left. AS Roma legend, Totti, will play as second striker, much akin to Emanuelson of AC Milan. There is a 60% chance that Pjanic will start ahead of Greco and a 4-in-1 chance that Totti will start ahead of Bojan in this match. The forward line comprises of Borini and Osvaldo, two of AS Roma’s top scorers this season with 17 goals between them. Borini has been a revelation for AS Roma since his move from Chelsea and recently also got a call-up to represent Italy.
Probable Starting Line-up (4-3-1-2): Stekelenburg(GK); Taddei, Kjaer, Heinze, Angel; Gago, De Rossi, Pjanic; Totti; Borini, Osvaldo
Key Match Facts
- AC Milan has lost only once this season at home, out of 13 games.
- The biggest home victory for AC Milan came against Catania and Chievo, where both lost by a margin of 4-0.
- AS Roma has lost 50% of their away games this season, having conceded 20 goals in the process.
- AS Roma are most likely to score inside the first 15 minutes, where they have scored 12 times so far, whereas AC Milan has a much more even distribution for scoring goals.
TheHardTackle’s Player to Watch Out For
Zlatan Ibrahimovic (AC Milan)
AC Milan’s totem has been in ominous form in the league so far, having notched up as many as 20 goals, thereby becoming the leading goal-scorer in Italy. With Milan heading to the business end of the season, a lot rests on the shoulders of Ibrahimovic, who will look to ensure that his team continues to remain on top of the league.
Pablo Osvaldo (AS Roma)
Osvaldo has been quite superb for AS Roma this season. With 8 goals and 2 assists to his name, he is likely to play a key role in this encounter for AS Roma. In the previous match against Genoa, he had as many as 5 shots, and he ended up scoring the winner. With Borini as his partner up front, the former Espanyol man will look to make his presence felt in this match.
TheHardTackle’s Prediction
AC Milan 3-1 AS Roma
After the midweek defeat against Juventus in the Coppa Italia semi-final, AC Milan will look to consolidate their position at the top with an outright victory over AS Roma, who themselves are going through an inconsistent phase. With Champions League action returning, Milan know the true value of 3 points, now more than ever. TheHardTackle predicts a victory for AC Milan at the San Siro.
TheHardTackle’s Blast From The Past
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