Co-hosts Poland and Ukraine, defending champions Spain, Germany, Russia, Italy, France, Holland, Greece, England, Denmark and Sweden have already secured their berth in next year’s Euro 2012. However, there are still four spots left to be decided on November 11 and 15 through a two leg playoff round between the eight teams that finished their group in second place (except Sweden, already qualified by virtue of having been the best second place team).
The playoff draw has determined aAi??re-editionAi??of the Portugal vs Bosnia match-up, after these two nations faced each other in the World Cup 2010 playoff round two years ago. Turkey will face Croatia in another familiar match-up, whereas surprise package Estonia will face Ireland, while Czech Republic will play against Montenegro. For these eight nations, these two games are the most important in recent memory, maybe even the most important games ever in Estonia and Montenegro’s cases, and no one will want to miss out on the Euro 2012.
TheHardTackle brings you a brief preview of the four Euro playoff ties.
Turkey vs Croatia
In Euro 2008, Turkey and Croatia faced off in an absolutely epic quarter-final match, with Turkey prevailing in the penalty shootout. Four years later, only one of them will be in the Euro 2012. Ai??Croatia will want revenge from their heartbreaking defeat from three years ago, but their performance during the group stages doesn’t inspire much confidence. Ai??The Croatian side were the odds-on favorites to win their group, but a string of disappointing performances saw them finish second behind Euro 2004 champions Greece.
Turkey, on the other hand, were second only behind Germany, one of the strongest national sides in the world at the moment. Ai??They had a titanic battle with Belgium until the very last day but in the end Turkey ended up prevailing and they will now fancy their chances of advancing to the Euro, even if their star player Nuri Sahin will be unavailable for this two leg playoff.
The first leg will be played in Istanbul, with the tie being decided four days later in Zagreb. With Turkey missing Sahin and Croatia missing Lovren and Versaijko all due to injury, both sides will have important absences in a tie that is likely to go down to the wire given the similar quality of both sides.
TheHardTackle’s Players to Watch
Arda Turan (Turkey), Eduardo da Silva (Croatia)
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TheHardTackle’s Blast From Past
TheHardTackle’s Prediction
Turkey will break the Croatian hearts yet again, this time on Croatian soil, with a narrow win on away goals.
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Czech Republic vs Montenegro
Montenegro were comfortably second in their group behind England, while Czech Republic had to wait until the last day to get second place ahead of Scotland and behind the all-conquering Spain. Still, the Czech must be considered favorites for this one, even if just because they have a lot more experience at the top-level than Montenegro. Player like Petr Cech, Tomas Rosicky and Milan Baros have been in high pressure situations multiple times in their career and their experience and quality should be enough to take Czech Republic to the Euro 2012.
But Montenegro will not be an easy opponent. They’re a relatively new nation and this is the first time they’re even close to reach a major competition, but they showed great promise in the group stages and they have the players to potentially cause an upset, especially with the second leg at their home ground. We can also expect this tie to be very tight until the end.
TheHardTackle’s Players to Watch
Petr Cech (Czech Repubic), Jovetic (Montenegro)
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TheHardTackle’s Prediction
Montenegro will make the tie close, but in the end Czech Republic’s superior experience and quality will prevail and the Czech will advance to the Euro 2012.
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Ireland vs Estonia
On paper, this is the most one-sided match-up of all. After the controversial circumstances in which Ireland were eliminated from the World Cup 2010 in the playoff round, the IrishAi??couldn’tAi??have asked for a better draw here. Estonia are usually regarded as one of the weakest sides in the continent and it was nothing short of a small miracle that they got this far. The Estonians will surely be dreaming of continuing their odyssey, but their chances are slim to say the least. Football isnai??i??t even a fully professional sport in Estonia yet, and their qualification to the Euro 2012 would be a true Cinderella story.
But Ireland are the stronger side and they will be eager to put the World Cup 2010 ghosts behind them. Ai??As admirable as Estonia’s campaign was, their chances of beating Ireland over two legs are very, very slim. But then again, they’ve already challenged all the odds to beat Serbia and Slovenia, so they are allowed to dream. Their entire group campaign was made of amazing comebacks and late goals, which epitomizes the spirit of this team, despite the lack of world class talent.
TheHardTackle’s Players to Watch
Kevin Doyle (Ireland) andAi??Konstantin VassiljevAi??(Estonia)
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TheHardTackle’s Prediction
Estonia’s campaign deserves praise and admiration, but their fairytale will end here. Giovanni Trapattoni will finally have the chance to manage Ireland in a major competition, with a comfortable win over the Estonians.
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Bosnia vs Portugal
This is arguably the biggest match of the playoff round, featuring such stars as Manchester United’s Luis Nani, Manchester City’s Edin Dzeko and Real Madrid’s Cristiano Ronaldo, among others. Two years ago, these two teams faced off in the World Cup 2010 playoffs, with Portugal winning both games 1-0. Ai??But two years later, Portugal seem weaker, while Bosnia have grown stronger with their star players (Dzeko, Ibisevic, Pjanic) wiser and more mature, reaching their prime years. Bosnia would already be qualified if not for a dodgy penalty call in their last group match against France.
Portugal, on the other hand, were handed a very easy group, but performed atrociously and are only in the playoffs because they had a better goal difference than Norway, a team they should easily beat on paper. The turmoil generated by the Carlos Queiroz saga didn’t help matters at all, and while Paulo Bento has managed to improve the squad, he has alienated important players like Ricardo Carvalho and Bosingwa. Ai??While in normal conditions a team with Portugal’s talent level would be a huge favorite for this tie, that is not the case at all. Considering how both nations have actually been performing lately, it wouldn’t be a stretch to claim that Bosnia are favorites. Either way, this will surely be a very even tie, with both teams having similar chances to make it through.
TheHardTackle’s Players to Watch
Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal) and Edin Dzeko (Bosnia)
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TheHardTackle’s Prediction
It will be a nail-biting affair until the end, but the world-class talent in Portugal’s ranks and the advantage of having the deciding leg at home will once again lead Portugal past Bosnia and into the Euro 2012.
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TheHardTackle’s Blast From The Past
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