Is any World Cup group so simultaneously bemoaned, anticipated, and foregone as Group G? The most interesting question here may not be who will come out on top, but rather who will finish last. While heavyweights Germany and Portugal look almost certain to advance, the curious history and circumstances surrounding the USA and Ghana could inject some unexpected life into this purported “Group of Death”.
Germany
Opinion on Germany can be divided between matter-of-fact optimism from many neutrals, and hardened skepticism from some supporters. The difference is as between statistics and lived experience. On paper, Germany are pretty much the team to beat: 12-time semifinalists, ranked #2 in the world, a dynamic and youthful squad now seasoned by experience in Europe’s top domestic leagues and past international tournaments. This German side come into the final on the back of an undefeated qualifying campaign, where they scored 36 goals in 10 matches.
On the flip side, Germany fans can tell you, this team has also conceded 54 goals since the last World Cup, a course of 48 games during which they kept just 17 clean sheets. It doesn’t help that Joachim LAi??w has fielded enough center backs and full-backs to fill out a full starting XI with defenders alone. The permutations are endless; an answer, less easily got. Jerome Boateng and Mats Hummels will compete for a slot alongside Per Mertesacker in the heart of defense. Captain Philipp Lahm is the natural choice for right back, but a dearth of options on the other side leaves LAi??w with a problem to ponder. Lahm’s versatility could see him move out left, in which case his vacated spot might be filled by Kevin Grosskreutz or Benedikt HAi??wedes — albeit not altogether satisfactorily, neither being naturally inclined to the position. Should Lahm stay put, Germany’s other option for left back looks to be Erik Durm, a 22-year-old who has one professional season to his prodigious name.
LAi??w named just one out-and-out striker for his Brazil squad: Miroslav Klose, who will be turning 36 before Germany face off against Portugal in their first match on June 16th. The situation up front only looks dire on paper, however. With Thomas MA?ller, Marco Reus, Mario GAi??tze, and Mesut Ai??zil all keeping an eye toward goal, Germany can and will be formidable on the offense. There is no question that, on their day, this side are capable of beating anyone. But it remains to be seen as to which Germany turns up, come June 16th: the all-cylinders-firing goalscoring machine, or the tactically-still-evolving team pecked by growing pains. LAi??w has demonstrated his willingness to experiment with formations, but has yet to demonstrate a clear vision as to what, exactly, a World-Cup winning Germany side should look like.
Even so, Germany remain the favorites to top Group G. They have the quality to take on Portugal, USA, and Ghana, and a tough group stage could be just the challenge Germany need, a bit of headwind against which to take off.
Portugal
Much has been made of the #2 and #3 ranked teams in the world being drawn into the same group. Though this news is, arguably, not as bad for Portugal as it is for the other two countries thrown into the mix as cannon fodder, A SeleAi??A?o are now facing another quandary: Cristiano Ronaldo is fighting both a late-season muscle injury as well as patellar tendinitis in the left leg.
Arguably the world’s best club player, Ronaldo’s performances at the national level have not always been peerless; but his hat-trick that carried Portugal past Sweden in the play-offs will not soon be forgotten. In this light, Ronaldo’s fitness worries are that much more magnified, as Portugal will certainly want to translate their momentum into a winning start.
“If for some reason [Ronaldo] is not there,” said teammate Nani, “whoever is there playing has to be confident in their ability to get the job done.” The 27-year-old winger himself has 73 caps and 14 international goals under his belt, and can be relied upon to contribute to Portugal’s bid. Furthermore, the side can boast a formidable back line featuring Pepe, Pereira, Coentrao, and Bruno Alves, and in midfield there will be Joao Moutinho powering the creative engine.
Beyond just Ronaldo, Portugal have talent enough to make a splash at this tournament. Wins over the United States and Ghana are probable, and a draw against Germany not unlikely, either. If they can find the confidence and play to their full potential, they can look forward to knocking out a few more teams after wrapping things up in Group G.
USA
The sacred shadow of Landon Donovan looms large over the USMNT. Three things are for certain in this world: rain, tax, and Donovan’s absence being cited as a determining factor for whatever end the USA meet at Brazil 2014. JA?rgen Klinsmann has made it clear that he believes the team he’s selected is the best America has to offer, and Donovan is not part of that elite. Never mind that, of this creme-de-la-creme, only five have previous World Cup experience, and the man selected to fill Donovan’s spot is the 18-year-old Julian Green who, while stunningly talented, has yet to prove himself at the top tier of professional football.
If the USA manage to shock one of Portugal or Germany and actually make it out of Group G, then Landon Donovan’s absence will be a harbinger of the changing of the guard, and Klinmann’s selection of youth over eminence a bold investment in the future. If the USA go out with a whimper, as is looking rather likely, then Landon Donovan will indeed be the USMNT’s sacred cow and Klinsmann the man who sacrificed it upon the altar of his own ego.
All told, Donovan’s absence may be less of an issue than the American team’s general form at the moment. The USA have been distinctly lackluster in the lead-up to Brazil. Yes, they managed to beat Germany 4-3 in a friendly last year; but given that Germany sent a squad so sorely depleted by injury and Champions League commitments as to be almost unrecognizable, the USA’s win becomes more than a little hollow. More relevantly, the team in pre-World Cup friendlies have lost to Ukraine, drawn Mexico, and failed to keep a clean sheet against Turkey. Team cohesion is improving, but the wind does not seem to have altogether returned to the USA’s star-spangled sails. They now face the prospect of having to at least draw one of either Germany or Portugal, just to have any hope of advancement, all while avoiding another defeat to their bogey team: Ghana. One can almost excuse Klinsmann for comparing the opening match against Ghana to a World Cup final.
There’s no doubt that a tough test awaits the USA. Not only are they outgunned by Germany and Portugal, but given their history against Ghana, the USA cannot even be considered the third-best team in Group G. At best, it’s a dead heat to avoid the ignominy of last place — or worse, bowing out of Brazil 3-nil.
Ghana
The good news for Ghana is that expectations will be duly forgiving, seeing as they have been drawn into a group with Germany and Portugal. The bad news for Ghana is that, expectations or no, they have been drawn into a group with Germany and Portugal.
Lead by James Kwesi Appiah, the first Ghanaian coach to take the national side to a World Cup, the Black Stars come into the tournament with a very solid midfield to compensate for some unconvincing stats up front and in defense. The Boateng brothers will meet when their national sides square off on June 21st; Kevin-Prince Boateng, alongside Michael Essien and Sulley Muntari, will have to hope that their physical game can give this Ghanaian side a fighting chance against one of the best midfields in the world. The 22-year-old Afriyie Acquah will also be making his World Cup debut, and the young midfielder is one who’s expected to turn a few heads in this tournament.
In defense, Appiah will have to find some way to try and contain the attacking forces of Germany, Portugal, and USA in the absence of Isaac Vorsah and John Mensah, who are injured. The duo were there four years ago during Ghana’s heartbreaking quarterfinal exit to Uruguay in the last World Cup.
It looks like the Black Stars will have to wait a few more years yet to avenge that particular loss. Though it is not altogether impossible that they might advance, it is extremely unlikely. Realistically, Ghana could expect to nick a win over the USA, against whom they have a very good record. Ghana have been responsible for knocking the Americans out of the last two World Cups now, and with this psychological advantage, they could well make it a hat-trick before June’s end.
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