Opinion: Is Manchester United’s Champions League Dream Already Over?

Sitting 13 points short of Jose Mourinhoai??i??s Chelsea, Manchester United have suffered an agonizing start under Van Gaal and have managed to win only 4 of their 11 league games so far. Without Champions League or FA Cup responsibilities, Unitedai??i??s aim is to win the race against Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City and finish in the top 4 in order to play in the Champions League next season. But with only 16 points from 11 League games, is Unitedai??i??s Champions League ambition already over?

Having spent a fortune on his summer recruits, Ed Woodward’s message to Van Gaal in his first season at Manchester United was clear – qualify for the Champions League.Ai??Not playing in the Champions League can have severe repercussions for a club of United’s stature. Fans, players and club officials are hoping that David Moyesai??i?? inability to qualify for Europe was a minor set-back and that Van Gaal will be able to bounce back with his expensive summer toys. But both Ed Woodward and Van Gaal will be keenly aware that even though they landed big summer signings such as Angel Di Maria and Radamel Falcao, a second successive season without Champions League football will start making the players uncomfortable. Every top player wants to play in the Champions League and if United donai??i??t give them that chance, someone else will.

Apart from this, there is also the concern of sponsorships and club finances. Champions League offers participating clubs a good sum of money, not to mention the sponsorships the tag generates. With their wage bill increasing by a figure of A?34.3 million, not playing in the Champions League means United will lose out on a potential A?38 million to A?48 million.Ai??And though United have too big a global presence to be drastically affected by a year long break from Europe, a prolonged absence will definitely affect the clubai??i??s finances.

So sitting a massive 13 points behind league leaders Chelsea, is Manchester Unitedai??i??s race for Champions League already be over? Lets analyse what is going wrong at Old Trafford and if it can be rectified before Christmas comes.

The Curse Of The Injured Devil

A strong defence is the backbone of a good, successful season. But despite investing in two defenders and one defensive midfielder, United have been plagued by injuries ever since the season started for Van Gaal, leaving the defence in shambles. So much so that youngsters Blackett and McNair were given their debuts in a bid to put together a defensive line-up, however inexperienced.

Phil Jones, Jonny Evans, Marcos Rojo and Rafael are all out with injuries, leaving Van Gaal without his 4 preferred defenders. Luke Shaw suffered from injuries at the start of the season and missed a string of matches. Both Chris Smalling and Tyler Blackett also suffered from injuries and then were subsequently shown the red card rendering them unavailable for selection.

In the midfield, both Michael Carrick and Fellaini suffered from a shaky start to the season as the duo struggled with fitness concerns. Subsequently new recruits Angel Di Maria and Ander Herrera also missed a few games due to injuries. Ashley Young has also been out with a groin injury. The latest blow to Van Gaal is the injury picked up by Daley Blind who is expected to be out for a more than a month. Falcao has also struggled to be completely match-fit and has missed out on important fixtures, leading to doubts surrounding his future at United. The list goes on.

Hence a string of serious injuries has completely destroyed Van Gaalai??i??s squad at Manchester United. The Dutchman has been unable to form important partnerships in any part of the pitch. With Christmas fast appraocjing, there is no end to Unitedai??i??s woes and Van Gaal will be aware that if he cant pull his team together before December, his hopes for a 4^th place finish will be unattainable.

Inability to Seal Victories

It took Van Gaal 4 league games to register his first win with Manchester United. By any standards, that is a disappointing start for the Dutch maestro who failed to get 3 points against Swansea, Sunderland and Burnley. They did however register their win in style against QPR but that was followed the shock of losing 5-3 to Leicester City. The manner in which United gave away the game must have sent alarm bells ringing in the Manchester United Board room. This was soon followed by a 2-2 draw against West Bromwich, a game that United nearly lost had it not been for a late strike from Daley Blind that avoided his manager the blushes.

Just 4 wins from 11 games, Van Gaal has been unsuccessful in sealing victories and has often come back with a point when he should have had won the game. Yes he is new at United and the string of injuries along with the arrival of new recruits has unsettled the Old Trafford dressing room. However, dropping points in more than 60% of the fixtures does not bode well for a team that is dreaming of playing in Europe next season.

United also drew blanks in two of the most important fixtures this season. Despite spirited performances against both Chelsea and Manchester City, United were unable to seal a victory in both the games. A late striker from Van Persie again helped United win a single point against Jose Mourinho while Unitedai??i??s impressive striking line-up failed to live up to the expectations against City. Van Gaalai??i??s case is not being helped by Van Persie and Radamel Falcao, both of whom have failed to get their season going. Struggling for match-fitness, Radamel Falcao was billed as the next big thing at United but the Colombian has had very few note-worthy performances to show for it. Meanwhile Van Persie is again going through a slump and needs to get back to his best if he is make a place for himself in this star-studded attacking line-up.

The Other Champions League Contenders

Manchester City, Liverpool, Chelsea and Arsenal made it to Champions League last season with Everton and Tottenham Hotspur finishing 5^th and 6^th respectively. A quick glance at these Champions League contenders reveal that apart from Chelsea and Manchester City, the other 4 teams are in a similar state as Manchester United.

Arch rivals Liverpool have been unable to cope up with the loss of Luis Suarez and the curious case of the injured striker Sturridge has only added to Brendan Rodgersai??i?? woes at Anfield. Such is their state that they are currently in the bottom half of the Premier League table, having won only 4 and lost 5 of their 11 league fixtures. And with Mario Balotelli still misfiring, it remains to be seen if Liverpool can get their season back on track before Christmas comes.

Similarly, both Everton and Tottenham Hotspur are suffering along with Liverpool and United. Sitting on the 10^th and 12^th spot in the Premier League, the two clubs have failed to kick-start their season and could look back and rue their missed chances.

Only Arsenal is performing better than United, sitting one place above them with a single point advantage. Arsene Wengerai??i??s side are being led by a brilliant Alexis Sanchez but despite his heroic efforts, Arsenal have been unable to win games, often losing the lead in a game and succumbing to a draw. 5 draws in 11 games does not bode well for Wenger who will be aware that his inability to lead Arsenal to Champions League could spell his doom at the club.

Hence Manchester Unitedai??i??s saving grace lies in the fact that most of its rivals are all in a similar state. In fact the difference between West Ham (4^th place, 18 points) and Tottenham 12^th place, 14 points) is a question of 4 points. Such has been the state of Premier League this season that despite Unitedai??i??s disastrous, they are only 2 points shy of the 4^th spot. Though Chelsea and City are much ahead of United and co, SouthamptonAi?? (2^nd) and West Ham (4^th) are expected to soon lose their steam and eventually climb down the table. Despite their heroics, the two squads will be unable to successfully withstand the pressure Christmas brings to the Premier League. But then again, they could simply bank on United, Arsenal and Liverpool to continue misfiring, leaving them the opportunity to finish off a historic season in the English Premier league.

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