The curtain has been officially raised on the new Bundesliga season, as Borussia Dortmund took down Bayern Munich, 2-0 in the German Supercup on Wednesday. As the 52nd edition of the Bundesliga gets underway on Aug. 22, can Bayern make it three titles in a row? Who will go down and who will stay up? What surprises lay in store?
1. Borussia Dortmund will push Bayern Munich for the title.
Bayern players have enjoyed a golden year: the league title, German Cup, and for many of them, the World Cup. Can Pep ensure that his players maintain their appetite for winning and lead Bayern to a third straight title? Not if JA?rgen Klopp has anything to do about it. The last time Bayern won three on the trot was all the way back in 1998-2001, and it was Dortmund who ended that run.
Itai??i??s a long season ahead, but Bayern have never looked so vulnerable. World champion Toni Kroos, who was so deadly in the famous 7-1 demolition of Brazil, has made a new home in Madrid, and while Bayern have plenty of riches in midfield, Kroos is not so easily replaced. That is particularly true given that Thiago Alcantara, who shone before suffering a season-ending injury in March, has suffered another setback that could put him out until October. Guardiola got more bad news during the Supercup, where Javi Martinez may have torn his ACL. The former Barcelona boss may opt to sign an erstwhile replacement, but this is certainly not the ideal way to start the season.
Though Dortmund have lost 20-goal Robert Lewandowski to their rivals, they has strengthened the squad in all departments, with three new strikers, new depth in midfield, and plenty of competition for places in defense. Not only will the new recruits help Dortmund towards the title, but the return of stalwarts like Ilkay GA?ndogan, Neven Subotic, Sven Bender, and Marcel Schmelzer means BVB are a squad rejuvenated. Given the almost surreal injury curse of last year, Klopp is taking no chances, with at least two quality options for almost each position. As long as their stars can stay healthy, BVB should be able to close the 19-point gap and take the title race to Bayern.
2. Borussia MAi??nchengladbach and Wolfsburg will overtake the Champions League spots.
Last season was the first time in 33 years that the same four teams finished in the top four (albeit with Schalke and Leverkusen switched). This year, Wolfsburg and Borussia MAi??nchengladbach look likeliest to upset the leagueai??i??s incipient Big Four and knock the Royal Blues and the Werkself out of the Champions League places.
While Gladbach have lost home-grown goalkeeper Ter Stegen and midfielder Juan Arango, they have been smart in their summer business, adding strength to their midfield in particular in the versatile American Fabian Johnson, who impressed at the World Cup, VfB Stuttgartai??i??s Ibrahima TraorAi??, Augsburgai??i??s AndrAi?? Hahn, and Thorgan Hazard, younger brother of Eden, on loan from Chelsea. With their fearsome quartet of Patrick Herrmann, Raffael, Max Kruse, and Christoph Kramer, the Foals are bursting with talent and competition for places will be fierce, particularly in midfield. Gladbach were the second best team in the league in the Hinrunde last season, behind only Bayern, and should they find consistency this season with such a deep squadai??i??albeit with the distraction of the Europa Leagueai??i??they could jump from sixth into fourth.
Wolfsburg, on the other hand, have been strangely quiet this summer, but that does not mean that Dieter Hecking does not have enough up his sleeve to power his team to the top four. They were only one point off last year, and will be determined to knock Leverkusen off their perch this time around. They certainly have the quality to do it, though how they will handle the balance between the Europa League and the Bundesliga remains to be seen. Belgian midfielder Kevin de Bruyne, who made a solid debut following his January switch from Chelsea, and 20-year-old Maximilian Arnold are both poised for breakout seasons, and these two young guns should make their presence felt every step of the way. Schalke and Leverkusen had better watch out.
3. Hoffenheim are likely to spring a top-six surprise.
If Hoffenheim are playing, one thing is for certain: there will be goals. Markus Gisdolai??i??s side were almost comically notorious last season for letting in as many as they put in, ending the season with a spectacular 72:70 goal difference that secured them ninth place. Theyai??i??ve managed to hold onto their firepower this year, and Volland, Firmino, Rudy, Modeste, and company will be well-rested and raring to go. To top it off, theyai??i??ve added Adam Szalai, who scored seven goals in seventeen appearances last season for Schalke.
But where Hoffenheim could spring a surprise is by shoring up their options at the other end. Recognizing his teamai??i??s weakness, Gisdol has brought in defensive reinforcements: talented goalkeeper Oliver Baumann from Freiburg and Bosnian international center back Ermin Bicakcic from Eintracht Braunschweig. If these two can help Hoffenheim keep clean sheets, then their prolific attackers can fire them up the table from ninth all the way up to those European spots.
4. Mainz could find themselves near the relegation zone.
After a few overachieving years, Mainz could struggle this season and fall far down the table from their seventh-placed finish last year. Coaching wunderkind Thomas Tuchel has been credited with Mainzai??i??s low-budget successes these past few years, but he resigned near the end of last season for reasons unknown. Since then, the club have lost two of their top strikers in Eric Choupo-Moting (Schalke) and Nicolai MA?ller (Hamburg) and have also crashed out of Europe at the first hurdle, losing 3-2 on aggregate to Tripolis in third round qualifying. New coach Kasper Hjulmand faces an uphill battle from here, and Mainz could see the most dramatic change in table position this year.
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