[Analysis] Is Olivier Giroud The New Robin van Persie?

Olivier Giroud’s super start to the 2013-14 season has Arsenal fans excited, with many touting him to be the new Robin van Persie.

There are no doubts about the fact that Robin van Persie is one of the best strikers currently in world football. After spending 8 long and trophy-less years at the Emirates, the striker finally packed his bags and moved to Old Trafford. Unarguably the biggest transfer coup of Fergie’s twilight years, Van Persie and Manchester United immediately struck gold helping each other win the league title with room to spare. RvP followed up a prolific 37 goal season at Arsenal with a 30 goal one at United. He struck up an instant chemistry of sorts with United’s talismanic forward, Wayne Rooney, and the partnership reaped rich dividends for Ferguson in his last year at the helm.

Is Giroud the successor to Van Persie?

Olivier Giroud arrived at Arsenal from Montpellier on the exit of Van Persie when Arsenal were suddenly short a front man. A 25-goal season for the Frenchman saw him top the Ligue 1 goal scorers list, as well as propell his club to the top spot and a direct entry to the UEFA Champions League Group Stage. Arsenal were in a bad way having lost the services of Cesc Fabregas, Samir Nasri and Robin van Persie in the space of two years. Arsene Wenger was under tremendous pressure and after having secured German striker Lukas Podolski’s signature earlier in the year, Giroud’s signing was seen as a major relief by Arsenal supporters. Giroud’s first year at Arsenal, in terms of goals, was not too great and many felt he had flattered to disappoint. However, he has been a revelation in his second season, teaming up with Aaron Ramsey and Mesut Ozil to devastating effect that has seen Arsenal climb to the top of the English Premier League table.

Playing Style and Position

There are a lot of similarities in the playing styles of Van Persie and Giroud. Both strikers tend to favour their left foot over their right, while their height provides a presence in the opponent’s box in attacking as well as in their own box while defending. Both tend to drop back and help out in midfield and defense, and can be depended upon to make a quick clearance when in a squeeze. When not scoring goals, both forwards are busy creating opportunities for others to benefit from.

Van Persie is primarily a skill based player who loves to take on defenders with the ball at his feet. He has fantastic dribbling skills, partially owing to his beginnings as a winger. Giroud on the other hand is more physical and has a more direct approach where he prefers to barrel through the defense. Giroud, like Van Persie, has also shown a willingness to play in his teammates who may be in a better goal scoring position.

Both strikers prefer to play in the role of solo striker off a central playmaker. Rooney is RvP’s preferred strike partner while Giroud has already developed a great understanding with Aaron Ramsey and Arsenal’s latest signing, Mesut Ozil.

Attacking Play

In terms of number of goals scored alone, Van Persie outclasses Giroud with a tally of 194 goals to the Frenchman’s 118. However, he has taken 417 appearances to get this tally while Giroud is still short of the 300 mark. This puts Van Persie at 0.47 goals per appearance to Giroud’s 0.42 goals per appearance. Considering the fact that Van Persie has spent a long time in the Premier League where it is considered to be comparatively more difficult to score goals, it may be fairer to compare these figures. In the Premier League, Van Persie has scored 129 goals from 242 appearances at a rate of 0.53 per appearance. That’s just over a goal every alternate appearance. Oliver Giroud has managed 16 goals from his 44 appearances at a poorer rate of 0.36 per appearance taking an additional game over Van Persie to score each goal. Giroud does slightly better than Van Persie in Europe, where the Dutchman scored 24 goals in 73 appearances to the French international’s 6 in 15. Of course, the last comparison may be slightly unfair owing to the comparatively limited European exposure Giroud has had. Here’s a snapshot of their goal scoring feats:

RvP vs Giroud – Career stats

Equally important to scoring goals is taking half chances that come a striker’s way. Forwards who keep taking shots at goal increase the pressure on the defense and goalkeeper often causing one or both to crack.

RvP vs Giroud – Premier League – Shots stats

This table tells a very different story of the two strikers. While both of them have approximately the same shot per minutes, the shot accuracy is markedly higher for the Dutch striker. Add to that his better shot conversion and Van Persie looks decidedly better than Giroud in his attacking play and his prowess in front of goal.

Passing Play

In addition to pinging the goal, both the frontmen also frequently drop back into the midfield to help build the attack. A look at their passing records:

RvP vs Giroud – Premier League – Passing stats

This section gets a bit murky because of the glaring difference both the players have shown over the two seasons. While in 2012-23, RvP was prolific in helping team mates move in on goal and even score, the tables seem to have been reversed this season with Giroud trumping his senior. This may be in large part due to the arrival of Ozil and the significant improvement seen in Ramsey’s game that allows Giroud to receive the ball and get into the game more often. On the other hand, Van Persie and Rooney have been on the field together for far lesser time than that afforded to them by Sir Alex Ferguson, which has allowed an understanding and a partnership to develop.

It is, however, indisputable that Van Persie’s reactions and vision on the ball is far superior to Olivier Giroud. The passing section still belongs to Van Persie owing to his higher pass accuracy and key pass frequency though things could change by the time May 2014 rolls along.

Defensive Play

A good defense is often considered the best form of offense. Both the players in consideration are tall, physically strong players and are employed by their respective teams to bail them out of a tight defensive spot either through open play or through set pieces. Van Persie and Giroud are often seen guarding their respective goals from set pieces and often step back to help out their defense when the latter is in a tight spot.

Breaking up open play is all about making interceptions. Sometimes, however, the situation may get worse and, in a goal mouth melee, blocks and clearances often save as many goals as the goal keeper himself. Here’s how Van Persie and Giroud stack up in this department:

RvP vs Giroud – Premier League – Defense stats

Blocks and interceptions are more a function of the player’s sense of positioning and his ability to read the game. Last season, Van Persie and Giroud matched their interceptions but the former trumped the latter in blocks. Again, however, this year the tables are turned and Giroud has been hitherto better than Van Persie in all aspects. This is actually the physical style of play Giroud favours and the one he displayed at Montpellier that attracted attention from many top European clubs. As an extra body in his own half, Giroud can provide a much needed outlet to his midfield and defense to relieve the attacking pressure being put on them. This round has to go to the Frenchman only because of his style of play that allows him to get more physical when tracking back and use his body to physically shield the ball.

Player on Player

Football is a team sport and there are 22 men on the pitch playing it. If you have the ball, an opponent will try to take it off you and if your opponent has the ball, it is your job to get it back. Here are the man on man stats:

RvP vs Giroud – Premier League – Player on Player Stats

This is where the major difference between the two men lies. Giroud is a player who likes to take on opponents. He will go into tackles willingly and usually come out on top with the ball. That is not to say that Van Persie is a slouch when it comes to tackling, but considering their tackling success, especially in the 2012-13 season, Giroud does seem to be the better man. A reason for the reversal this season is probably the increase in strength of the Arsenal midfield and the simultaneous drop in midfield quality at Manchester United.

And where the tackling statistics show Giroud’s marginal superiority on the ground, header statistics place him way above Van Persie in aerial challenges. Giroud’s statistics show that when he gets into an aerial challenge, he gets them once in every two tries. More significant, however, is the astronomical number of headers Giroud takes on compared to Van Persie. He makes 3 to 4 times the aerial challenges made by the Dutchman. In light of this, his success rate of over 50% seems even more spectacular. Where Van Persie has the beat on Giroud is taking on opponents with the ball at his feet. Van Persie is, arguably, one of the most skilled strikers in the Premier League with the ball at his feet. The only other player who probably comes close is Liverpool’s Luis Suarez. Van Persie loves running at defenses when in possession and two out of three times he keeps the ball. Combine this with his key pass and assist statistics and Van Persie can singlehandedly wreck defensive lines in the opponent’s third.

Looking at the foul statistics, more fouls are committed on Van Persie than by him. This is chiefly due to his skill on the ball. An opponent left wrong footed by a feint or nutmeg and desperate to recover from his mistake is often likely to stick out a boot or tug on the shirt. Again, looking back at RvP’s statistics, he does receive the ball a lot in the game and this is also a contributing factor to more tackles (and hence more fouls) being made on him. Giroud’s last season was a frustrating one and more than once he was seen making a rash challenge on an opponent to vent his frustration. Yet he received fewer yellow cards than Robin van Persie in the same season. The one red card was probably a mistake when he jumped into a tackle against Fulham’s Manolev in the away fixture at Craven Cottage at the end of the season. The referee deemed it a dangerous tackle and handed Giroud a straight red although replays showed that he had got a touch on the ball first. Van Persie on the other hand has a penchant for collecting yellow cards. He is a temperamental and emotional player on the pitch and is liable to be in the melee when tempers flare. He often gets into the official’s face when a decision goes against him. As a senior player, this is to his detriment as they are the ones who are expected to control their younger teammates in such situations on the pitch. This section should ideally be a tie since while Van Persie is better on the ball, Giroud is better off it.

Final Analysis

Comparing the statistics of the two forwards across attacking, passing, defensive and player-on-player play shows Van Persie leads 2 to 1 with one category tied. But there’s a reason that results in football don’t match up to how teams look on paper. Van Persie is 30 years old and in the prime of his career. He has terrorised English club defences for a decade now, and clubs have to prepare a game plan for him. However, it is worth remembering that he probably has only a couple of years left in his prime, as has been observed for many other forwards who peter out by the time they hit the age of 32 or 33. This would be especially harder on a player like Van Persie who depends upon his quick reactions and skill on the ball to play his game. While the skill will still remain, reactions will slow down and so will the pace of execution as age progresses.

Olivier Giroud, on the other hand, is only 26 years and is yet to hit his prime. He is a physically strong forward like Wayne Rooney and his off-the-ball skills make him an asset even when the team is defending. He has spent a little over a year with Arsenal so it may be too premature to comment conclusively right now, but Giroud has all the makings of being a top notch forward who can invoke the same fear in opponents as his Arsenal predecessor. With his best years still ahead of him, Arsene Wenger may yet have unearthed another diamond in the rough and, as he has proven time and again, he is, bar none, the best polisher of diamonds currently in the Premier League.

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