Relegation ai??i?? a word that sends shudders through most football managers all around the world and is something against which they start preparations even before the season starts. The so called smaller teams and teams that have achieved promotion spend loads of money, ramp up their squad depth, and hire and fire managers in a bid to stay put in the top flight. Why wouldnai??i??t they, considering the financial stability top flight football offers with clubs getting good money to play amongst the big boys through lucrative TV deals and large outside investments. Of course one cannot forget the ability to attract talents from all over the world when one plays in one of the best leagues in Europe.
The phenomenon of relegation though puts a blot over a clubai??i??s dream. A large amount of revenue is lost, your best players donai??i??t want to play in the 2nd tier and you are set to battle it out in a unforgiving division that has a long season and eccentric schedules. In England, Reading, QPR and Wigan Athletic will play Championship football next season and are set to loose majority of their stars to the Premier League. Palermo, Siena and Pescara have suffered relegation in Italy while the battle is still on in Spain.
May 18th, match day 34 of the Bundesliga show-cases the last day of what has been a truly fascinating season of German domestic football. Bayern Munich have run away with the title this season as record champions. Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen have cemented their names in next seasonai??i??s Champions League and one out of Schalke, Eintracht Frankfurt or Freiburg will accompany them to Europeai??i??s premier cup competition. But the small issue of who remains to fight it out amongst the big boys of Germany next season still remains undecided. Greuther FA?rthai??i??s relegation was confirmed 3 weeks back but the other relegation spot and the relegation play-off spot are yet to be determined.
After match day 32, Werder Bremen, Fortuna DA?sseldorf, Augsburg and Hoffenheim were in the mix with 5 points separating 14th placed Bremen and 17th placed Hoffenheim. Matchday 33 was a must win scenario for the likes of Hoffenheim and Augsburg and though Bremen and Fortuna had the buffer of points and goal difference on their side, were looking to distance themselves from the trap-door. Bremen were the only one who ensured their safety on matchday 33 with a hard-earned draw against Frankfurt. Hoffenheim were hammered 4-1 by Hamburg, while an out-of-form NA?rnberg side beat DA?sseldorf. Improving Augsburg were unlucky to be up against newly crowned champions Bayern and lost the tie 3-0.
As things stand on the final day, Werder Bremen are safe with 34 points from 33 games while DA?sseldorf, Augsburg and Hoffenheim are all in contention to drop down.
The Relegation Contenders
Fortuna DA?sseldorf
F95 kicked off their Bundesliga campaign with a string of 5 games undefeated and things have only gone on a downward spiral since then. After a decent first half to the campaign, Fortuna have been in miserable form both home and away. They face a tough last day trip to the AWD-Arena, home of Hannover 96, never an easy place to go and get points. In their 16 games on the road, DA?sseldorf have won only twice and have raked up 11 defeats and in their 5 away games have earned a mere point, a draw against Wolfsburg . Their hosts on the other hand have won 8 of their 16 home games majority of them coming against teams housed in the lower of the table.
The Scenario
Fortuna know this is a must win game for them to remain well clear off the drop zone. They are currently in 15th place level on points with Augsburg and remain higher only due to better goal difference. Trips to Hannover are never easy and going by their current form things look bleak for the side.
They have to win to stay in their current position, though a draw coupled by both Augsburg and Hoffenheim losing will also do. If Augsburg win their tie and Fortuna draw or lose, a relegation play-off spot beckons. It is hard to see Hoffenheim messing up things for Fortuna considering the former have a goal difference of -26 as compared to Fortunaai??i??s -15.
FC Augsburg
Augsburg come into the game with a -20 goal difference and with probably the easiest fixture amongst all the relegation contenders. They play host to fellow Bavarians and already relegated Greuther FA?rth. The two were within touching distance for most of the season constantly exchanging places at the bottom. But since the turn of the year, Augsburg have shown some brilliant form that has taken given them chances of survival. Scoring goals has been a major concern for Augsburg having found the back of the net on only 30 occasions. Only 4 wins in 16 home games does not make good reading but important wins towards the end of the season coupled with defeats to fellow relegation battlers has kept the side in contention for survival. Their last two home games will be of some comfort to the home fans. They beat Stuttgart by 3-0 in their last home game and beat high flying Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 before that.
The Scenario
Augsburg like Fortuna know they have to win and take all 3 points for them to tend towards safety. If Augsburg win and Fortuna lose, their safety is ensured. But if Augsburg win and Fortuna win, the goal difference comes into play and this is where the former can get hurt. Augsburg and 5 goal differences behind DA?sseldorf and their goal scoring exploit this season isnai??i??t impressive. Their only respite is that they face an easier opponent in FA?rth compared to Fortunaai??i??s Hannover. Hoffenheim being behind on goal difference should not cause them trouble.
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
It is hard to sympathize with Markus Gisdol and his men in blue taking into account their dismal season after a decent start. Their form off late has been good. They registered impressive wins over NA?rnberg, FA?rth and DA?sseldorf, and got hard earned draws against Wolfsburg, Bremen and Mainz. But their loses have been absolutely embarrassing and shipping out 3 goals or more has hurt them even more. They currently sit 17th with 28 points from 33 games and a goal difference of -26, and hold the dubious record of conceding 66 goals this season. 2 wins and 11 loses in 16 away games is not a good record to carry with you especially when you visit Borussia Dortmund. Klopp will be keen to utilize this game as practice match for next week;s grand showdown in London and expect no mercy from the Ruhr club.
The Scenario
The village side HAVE to win and win by a goal margin of at least 6 goals and hope both Augsburg and Dusseldorf lose. A win for Hoffenheim with said goal margin and draws for at least one of the other sides will also help them. But goal difference is the worrying factor.
TheHardTackleai??i??s predictions
- Hannover vs Dusseldorf – 1-1
- Augsburg vs Greuther FA?rth – 2-1
- Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim ai??i?? 3-0
- Augsburg win to move up to 15th.
- Fortuna slip down to the Relegation/Promotion Play-offs
- Hoffenheim get relegated.
Relegation/Promotion Play-offs
FC Kaiserslautern beat Fortuna DA?sseldorf to win promotion to the Bundesliga.
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