The 51st edition of the Bundesliga kicks off this week. Who’s going to Europe, who’s going down, and who’s going home with the silverware? THT has your 2013/14 Bundesliga predictions.
1. Bayern Munich to defend Bundesliga title.
You won’t find many willing to bet against Bayern Munich in 2013/14. A treble-winning squad, an acclaimed new manager, and arguably the coup of the year in Mario GAi??tze ai??i?? Bayern look about ready for another record-setting season. The bad news for Pep Guardiola is that Jupp Heynckes has already taken Bayern to the pinnacle of achievement; from the top of the mountain, the only way to go is down. On the other hand, if there’s anyone who’s up for the challenge, then Guardiola is probably it.
There’s no doubting the new manager is capable. But Dortmund’s 4-2 win in the DFL Supercup exposed some weaknesses in Pep’s tactical experimentation. Either the players need more time to adjust to his favored 4-1-4-1, or Guardiola needs to fit his system to his players, and draw on their strengths rather than on his own biases.
Still, the sheer gap in quality between Bayern and the rest of the Bundesliga leaves little question as to the odds. Guardiola’s tactical tinkering may leave the Bavarian giants liable to some surprise results, which could be fatal in a knock-out competition like the DFB Pokal. But when it comes to the long haul of the league, Bayern are shoo-ins for a title defense.
2. Schalke should aim for a top-three finish ai??i?? at least.
A lack of squad depth hurt Schalke’s ambitions last season. But with some savvy signings this summer, the Royal Blues look ready for a bigger and brighter future. Adam Szalai (from Mainz) and Felipe Santana (Dortmund) are welcome additions to the team. And with Julian Draxler poised for a break-out season after a stellar performance in 2013/14, the Draxler-Szalai-Huntelaar combination could prove to be one of the most formidable this season.
A top-three finish and direct qualification for the Champions League group stages is realistic. Schalke may not finish above Dortmund in the table, but the Revierderby may reach new heights of intensity as well as animosity. And who knows? With the Royal Blues on their heels, even Bayern ai??i?? and Pep ai??i?? may find life in the Bundesliga to be just that much more difficult.
3. VfL Wolfsburg: dark horse for Europe?
Wolfsburg have not had the easiest time since winning the Bundesliga in 2009. Last season and Magath’s short-lived return was, succinctly, a hot mess. Consistency now becomes not only the manager’s expectation, but an imperative.
But Wolfsburg are making good progress under Klaus Allofs and Dieter Hecking ai??i?? ostensibly toward stability, rather than quick success. Daniel Caligiuri comes into the fold after an impressive stint at Freiburg. And Timm Klose following Hecking to Lower Saxony was a major point for the Wolves’ defense. Klose was easily one of Nuremberg’s best players last season with his excellent distribution, positional sense, and strength in the air. Ja-Cheol Koo returning from a loan spell at Augsburg is another plus.
Hecking is known for building functional not flashy teams. But a splash of cold water is just what this team needs in the post-Magath era. With solid foundations, Wolfsburg can realistically aim toward at least a mid-table finish. Add in a little extra flair, and European qualification could be in sight.
4. Freiburg will weather transitional season.
After an over-achieving season that saw them secure European qualification, Freiburg suffered a mass exodus over the summer: Max Kruse, Jan Rosenthal, Cedrick Makiadi, Daniel Caligiuri, and Johannes Flum have all been snapped up by other clubs. The big question hanging over Christian Streich now is whether his side can survive the transition from fairytale into reality.
The answer looks to be a cautious but optimistic “yes”. With the revenue generated from the above transfers, Freiburg are quietly rebuilding their foundations. Arrivals include loanees Francis Coquelin and Admir Mehmedi; Felix Klaus and Gelson Fernandes; and experienced ex-Gladbach man Mike Hanke. The new boys are settling in well, and pre-season saw them defeat Olympiacos and Belediyespor and hold Athletic Bilbao to a draw.
The coming season will not be easy after losing so many key players. But given the circumstances, Freiburg are doing well. They may not be penning any more fairytales in the near future, but the club will live to fight another day.
5. Werder Bremen could be embroiled in relegation battle.
The Green-White revolution comes not without a cost. After losing both Klaus Allofs and Thomas Schaaf last season, Werder Bremen step into a brave new world under Robin Dutt’s tutelage. The pre-season has not been the most encouraging, as Bremen lost four friendlies in a row before rallying to nick a win against Fulham. However, for the third year in a row Bremen crashed out in the first round of the DFB-Pokal against third-tier FC SaarbrA?cken. Dutt himself acknowledged that the shock defeat will cause some psychological problems for his side, heading into the Bundesliga campaign ai??i?? as if the lingering trauma of last season weren’t already enough.
The good news is that Bremen ease into 2013/14 with some winnable matches: first, away at newly-promoted Eintracht Braunschweig, before the home opener against Augsburg. But from there on out the kid gloves are off. The team must quickly address their individual failings; and Dutt, despite his big dreams of a new philosophy at Bremen, must first and foremost find a system that works for his players. Stability will be key, lest the Green-White ship find itself going down amidst another turbulent season.
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