V
ASTON VILLA
Anfield, Liverpool
15 December, 15:00 GMT
It could be the start to a successful end to the first half of the 2012/13 Premier League campaign for Liverpool. The Reds have, for the first time since December 2011, won back-to-back games in League. The win against Udinese in midweek and consequent progress through the group stages has only added to the confidence of the squad. Couple this with the fact that their win against West Ham last week came without star striker Luis Suarez has left Liverpool in good stead as they welcome a struggling Aston Villa this Saturday. Brendan Rodgersai??i?? philosophy may finally have started to bear fruit. With the remaining four fixtures before Christmas break being perfectly winnable, Liverpool will aim at 12 points out of 12.
Aston Villa and Paul Lambert are not exactly having a dream partnership. The former Norwich manager who took the Canaries to 13th spot in the Premier League was earlier seen as the right man for the job at Villa Park. However, things havenai??i??t quite worked for Aston Villa this season as the club has managed just three victories so far ai??i?? against Sunderland, Swansea and Reading. But a bigger concern for Lambert is the number of draws (6) which now sees them languishing in 17th spot. Villa do the need three points against Liverpool in order to avoid a possible drop into the relegation zone.
Team News & Tactics
Liverpool
Brendan Rodgers welcomed the return of Lucas against Southampton couple of weeks ago but still has Fabio Borini and Martin Kelly injured on the sidelines. Both players are expected to make a comeback only in 2013, with Kelly returning only by March. In addition, Jose Enrique was recently taken off in the game against West Ham due to a slight strain but is expected to be fit for this fixture against Villa. Liverpool otherwise do not have any grave injury concerns ahead of this match.
One of the key things missing on the pitch this season for Liverpool was the presence of a proper holding midfielder in the absence of Lucas. Although Sahin is an apt substitute for the Brazilian, the Real Madrid loanee is still taking time to adapt to English football due to which Rodgers had no option but to field Allen in the defensive midfield position. And although the Welshman has done fairly well, Lucasai??i?? return will come as a big relief as he can now operate a little further ahead on the pitch, closer to the final third.
The bigger pain point in midfield, however, is the presence of Steven Gerrard. The club captain has seen a slight dip in his performances this season while other players are stepping up to the plate. Still, the fact that he ranks third on the most key passes completed by EPL players means he still will be a vital cog in the Liverpool midfield. If Gerrard can tune his form a bit, then the Reds stand to gain a lot more from the midfield than just feeding the ball through to Suarez, hoping for him to finish off the chances.
Jordan Henderson, one of the players whose Liverpool future is being questioned, put in some solid displays in the last two games against Udinese (scored the lone goal, ensuring Liverpoolai??i??s progress) and West Ham (provided an assist to Liverpoolai??i??s winner) could give Rodgers a tough time in selection but these are games where nothing less than three points is expected from the Reds and the manager is unlikely to go out on a limb and experiment with Henderson by giving him a starting berth.
Liverpool have averaged 43% possession in the center of the pitch but this number could now increase with the return of Lucas. What this means is that we could see further possession in the final third as well, provided Sterling and Suso continue to improve their link up with Suarez. There is a brand of football that the squad is slowly settling into so expect a lot of possession play by Liverpool with a free-flowing style that is slowly growing through the squad.
Probable Starting Line-up (4-2-3-1): Reina; Johnson, Skrtel, Agger, Enrique; Allen, Lucas; Gerrard, Sterling, Suso; Suarez
Aston Villa
As if Paul Lambert didnai??i??t have enough problems of his own, the manager now has to deal with the injury blow to his primary striker, Darren Bent. The 28 year-old frontman injured his hamstring just 35 minutes after making his first start since October when Aston Villa played Norwich City on Tuesday night in the Capital One Cup. This is a big blow for the Villans as Bent wasnai??i??t really enjoying the best of seasons till his injury and was hoping of a strong comeback on his return. What this means is that Christian Benteke and Gabriel Agbonlahor will start as the striking pair against Liverpool.
In addition, Villa still have defender Joe Benett sidelined due to a knee injury while Gary Gardner and Richard Dunne are also on treatment tables. On the bright side, club captain and centre-back Ron Vlaar could return to the side along with Enda Stevens. Aston Villa were also boosted by the return of Charles Nai??i??Zogbia last week. The Frenchman is sure to breathe some fire in Villaai??i??s attack from the left.
Lambert wouldnai??i??t want to crowd the midfield now that Nai??i??Zogbia is back to the line-up. With the return of Vlaar, the central defensive pairing is sorted. Ahead of this, Lambert would likely go for a 1-3 midfield with Karim El Ahmadi in the defensive slot, sitting behind Ireland, Albrighton and Nai??i??Zogbia. Ahmadiai??i??s primary role would be to shield the defensive line from Suarez while Ireland, Albrighton and Nai??i??Zogbia provide experience, creativity and pace from the midfield.
Aston Villa would thank their stars for having side Christian Benteke in the summer, for the 22 year-old Belgian striker has been the clubai??i??s leading goal-scorer so far, easily being the first choice ahead of Darren Bent whenever the latter has been available. The main reason for Lambert likely to go with Agbonlahor alongside Benteke instead of his regular, lone striker routine is mainly because Liverpool play a lot more in the opposition half en route to their build up. Hence, whenever a chance for a counter comes up, Villa will need Agbonlahorai??i??s pace and Bentekeai??i??s presence to finish off chances.
Probable Starting Line-up (4-1-3-2): Guzan; Lowton Vlaar, Clark, Stevens; El Ahmadi; Albrighton Ireland, Nai??i??Zogbia; Benteke, Agbonlahor
Key Facts
- Aston Villa have won just one of their last 16 Premier League away matches (W1 D6 L9), scoring only seven goals in that run.
- The Reds have kept four clean sheets in their last five league matches at Anfield, conceding just one goal in the other game.
- The last player to score a winning goal for Aston Villa against Liverpool was Stewart Downing in May 2011 in his final appearance before he signed for Liverpool. Since then he has played 43 PL games without scoring for the Reds.
- Steven Gerrard has scored nine goals against Aston Villa, more than he has against any other opponent in his Premier League career.
Player to Watch Out For
Steven Gerrard (Liverpool)
Brendan Rodgers has earlier stated that he has given Steven Gerrard the freedom to play his natural game, in order to get the best out of the midfielder. This makes you wonder why there have been some misplaced cross-field passes, loss of possession in vulnerable positions and even an own goal so far.
It is not often that you associate such mistakes with Steven Gerrard and that is why we feel the focus will be on him this Saturday. Once the club captain gets back on track, he will definitely breathe more life into Liverpoolai??i??s midfield which has already been boosted by the return of Lucas Leiva. The return of Lucas allows Gerrard to once again slot into the hole behind the striker, becoming the focal point for key passes to the left and right of Suarez, not to forget, Suarez himself. In Lucas’ absence, there was a void in this region since Gerrard needed to assist Allen at the back which meant that the likes of Sterling and Suarez had to cover a lot of ground themselves. But hopefully Liverpool fans will see a turnaround this Saturday.
Prediction
Liverpool 2 ai??i?? 0 Aston Villa
It is interesting to note about Liverpoolai??i??s slow progress this season that they havenai??i??t really slumped whilst gaining positions on the table. Although it has taken them time, Rodgers has ensured that the Reds donai??i??t slip in their efforts to get to the top four. Also, now that the tough fixtures for Liverpool are pretty much out of the way for the first half of this Premier League season, they should easily secure this victory against Aston Villa and boost their chances of getting closer to the fourth spot.
Blast from the Past
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