FC Barcelona are currently 13 points behind leaders and eternal rivals Real Madrid in La Liga (although with a game in hand, later tonight against Valencia) and, unless Real Madrid have a very unlikely implosion (and Barcelona improve their own form significantly), they are about to relinquish the La Liga title that they have won three times in a row under Pep Guardiola. Bar a miracle of sorts, it seems that Barcelona’s stranglehold on La Liga is about to come to an end.
TheHardTackle analyses the most significant reasons behind Barcelona’s imminent loss of the La Liga title.
Real Madrid’s Extraordinary Form
Credit where it is due – Real Madrid are having a truly extraordinary season in La Liga. They have won 20 of their 23 matches so far and scored an unbelievable 79 goals (on pace to break the all-time La Liga scoring record). Ai??Despite not getting a single win against Barcelona this season (in five tries), JosAi?? Mourinho’s outfit has been annihilating pretty much every other team, with their incredible attacking power leaving everyone in their wake.
League competitions reward consistency and Real Madrid have been incredibly consistent. While the stats indicate that Barcelona are performing way below the standards set in past seasons, winning the league against this Real Madrid side will always be a herculean task. If the Catalans had repeated their results from last season, the best under Pep Guardiola so far, up to matchday 23, they’d still merely be one point ahead of Real Madrid at this point; their point tally from 2009/2010 and 2008/2009 would leave them in second place, though.
While Barcelona have collected 13 points fewer than last season at this point and are somewhat guilty of their own demise, credit must go to Real Madrid for winning almost every week and putting the Catalans under intense pressure. In most other leagues, without a rival as strong as Real Madrid, Barcelona’s current point tally would be more than enough to contend and maybe even win the title.
Some Lack of Motivation/Drive
After winning 13 trophies (out of 16) and three years and cementing their status as one of the greatest teams in football history, many believed that some of Barcelona’s motivation will be gone. After all, what more can the likes of Messi, Xavi, Puyol and co. strive to achieve?
Those fears have been confirmed this season, especially in away league matches. Barcelona have shown signs of complacency that had never appeared in previous seasons. They were guilty of not killing matches (and then paying for it in the end) and sometimes seemingly expecting a goal to appear sooner or later. Last season, Barcelona had won their first 8 away matches and had the best away record in La Liga history; this time around, the club has only won 4 of their 11 away games so far, with a goal difference of 18-13. Most of the points lost away from home came with Barcelona seemingly in control and then letting the match slip through their fingers in the end.
When competing with such a strong and consistent rival like Real Madrid, complacency is deadly. All these points Barcelona sloppily dropped on the road have pretty much cost them the title.
Barcelona showed some glimpses of their 2010-2011 competitive intensity, namely in the Champions League and El ClA?sico matches, but the inability to bring this level of play and concentration on a weekly basis is one of the main reasons why they will probably surrender their La Liga title without even challenging until the end.
More Injuries Than Usual
Before this season, Barcelona had been extremely lucky with injuries in the Guardiola era, with their key players rarely getting injured. But the exact opposite has been happening this season; at one point last month, Pep Guardiola had no more than 14 first team players available.
Xavi Hernandez, AndrAi??s Iniesta, Sergio Busquets, Alexis Sanchez, Pedro Rodriguez, Gerard Pique, Carles Puyol, Cesc Fabregas, among others, have all been injured for extended periods this season, with Afellay and crucially David Villa out for even lengthier periods (Villa might be out for the rest of the season).
The constant absence of key players and consequent need of rushing the promotion of B team players hasn’t helped Barcelona’s plans at all. After three years of luck on the injury front, the situation reversed completely and the club couldn’t deal with and remain consistent in the league.
The constant injuries to AndrAi??s Iniesta have been especially harmful, with Barcelona dropping most of their points with their talismanic midfielder out, and the same can be said about David Villa, whose absence has made Barcelona’s attack a lot less prolific and hurt the team’s overall dynamic.
Whether it is down to an inadequate pre-season, bad fitness management or simply bad luck, the truth is that Barcelona simply couldn’t deal with the wave of injuries they suffered and paid the price for it.
Too Much Dependence on Messi, Xavi and Iniesta
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Every special team in history has relied on one (or a few) special players, individuals who have that extra bit of brilliance to take the team to another level.
But in Pep Guardiola’s Barcelona’s case, there seems to be a clear and excessive dependence on Lionel Messi, Xavi Hernandez and AndrAi??s Iniesta. It is no surprise considering that these are arguably the three best players in the world – and were in fact voted as such in the 2010 Ballon d’Or, while they were three of the top 4 in 2011 – but their influence on the team is perhaps too big.
When even one of these uber-talented players is missing, there’s a noticeable drop in quality. Even if the likes of Thiago Alcantara and Cesc Fabregas are capable replacements, it is just not the same. Barcelona have no shortage of great players, but these three are the so-called “special” players, the ones who really make the team tick and the go-to players when things become difficult.
It is the combined talents of these three amazing players raised in La Masia that made this Barcelona side widely considered one of the greatest of all-time. Ai??With Xavi picking a few knocks this season and Iniesta dealing with constant hamstring injuries, the team was not able to keep the same level and consistency.
Finding a way to maintain peak level without this trio will be one of Pep Guardiola’s main challenges for next season (and the rest of this season), one that might very well determine if Barcelona’s cycle of domination is over or not.
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