After an exciting first round of clashes, the final stages of the Quarterfinals of this year’s UEFA Champions League are upon us. While all the victors of the previous round won without conceding, Milan were held to an well-fought draw by the reigning Champions, Barcelona. After Wednesday night’sAi??Champions League games are done, when the dust has settled on these matches, the world will be presented with four teams – powerhouses or pretenders, who will lay claim to be Europe’s best this time around.
The Champions League is an unpredictable place, mired equally in controversy and moments of breathtaking excellence; featuring teams who no one expected to qualify this far to sleeping giants that awaken in time. Players have fought tooth and nail in the UEFA Champions League, which can certainly claim to be the best in the world. There are few sporting tournaments that can top the zeal, the passion, the rush of adrenaline rush that is characteristic of UEFA’s flagship event – the annual Champions League.
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AC MILAN
Camp Nou, Barcelona
April 3, 2012; 18:45 Hrs GMT
****
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Our match day kicks off with this epic clash between Barcelona and AC Milan. After all the brouhaha last time over the quality of the pitch, Barcelona needs to show everyone they’re really up for a real fight. Barcelona has had a tough year in the La Liga, with injuries hampering their progress at crucial junctures. While they did lose ground domestically, they are still one of the most dominant forces when it comes to Europe. The Champions League will go some way in compensating for a loss on the domestic league circuit.
Barcelona will be at home this time, which means they will have the support of their home crowd, and that according to Guardiola, will be crucial in deciding the outcome of this fixture. Teams have crumbled before Barcelona more often than not, but that is not the case for Milan, the reigning Champions of Italy. In the previous fixture at San Siro, Milan showed how defending, apart from Catenaccio and “parking the bus”, can be an art form. Coming from a club which boasts of players like Maldini and Baresi, this is almost a given, but with the present squad it has to be said that the previous match was a laudable effort.
Mark Van Bommel is expected to be back for this clash, which will come as a huge sigh of relief to Allegri, who will do everything in his power to secure an elusive victory at Camp Nou. It will be prudent to field Emanuelson from the beginning, but then Milan might miss out on Boateng, who on his night, can power through any defense in the world. The presence of Aquilani will also help Milan in creating attacks from the middle of the park. Nesta was rested in the Serie A game against Catania so that he can play this fixture.
Barcelona are missing lesser number of players, but even with their limited resources they are a handful. The key to blocking out Barcelona will be to stop Iniesta and Xavi from creating anything, as in the previous encounter. Iniesta was almost shut out, and only when he was replaced by a more energetic Tello, did Barcelona make any headway in the Champions League tie. Tello is a fast player and most of the times he prefers to be at the end of a long ball rather than a short pass.
An interesting factoid – in the 270 minutes played between Barcelona and Milan, Messi has found the back of the net only once, that too via a penalty. A defense which can contain Messi is an extreme rarity these days, and when one looks upon Nesta, one cannot help but be amazed by the grand old man of Milan. Messi cannot be stopped by pace, it would seem. The only way to stop him is to get in the right tackle at the right moment.
Milan knows a draw will see them through, but are aware of the task at hand. Barcelona on the other hand needs to play as they always play – with possession and attack. Their idea of winning the ball further up the pitch is a key weapon in their arsenal, but they are equally susceptible on the break. With everything to play for, this could very well turn out to be a classic for the ages.
TheHardTackleai??i??s Prediction: Barcelona 1-1 Milan
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OLYMPIQUE DE MARSEILLE
Allianz Arena, Munich
April 3, 2012; 18:45 Hrs GMT
****
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Next up, Bayern will be looking to seal their passage to the next round with a victory over Marseille. Bayern will be at home this time round, and the knowledge that the finals of this year’s UEFA Champions League will be played out at the same venue will no doubt act as a source of inspiration to them. In the previous match, Bayern triumphed via goals from Gomez and Robben.
Marseille, on the other hand, are having a tough finish to the business end of their campaign. Languishing at the ninth place domestically, they are almost ruled out for any action in Europe for the foreseeable future. Didier Deschamps, World Cup winner in 1998 knows all too well the uphill task his team has to undertake to first overturn a 2-0 margin, and then win against all odds.
Bayern scraped though this weekend with a narrow victory over Nurnberg in the Bavarian Derby, with Robben being on target. The trio of Gomez-Robben-Ribery has been extremely crucial for Bayern this year, with the trio having scored as many as 45 goals between domestically. Stopping one of them invariably leads to ignoring the other, so it can be said that as long as the attacking trident of Bayern are on target, they are unlikely to lose. But this being said, they still trail Dortmund, and with only 6 matches remaining in the league, chances to go on top will be very few indeed.
Marseille on the other hand, are fueled by Remy and Valbuena. Remy came close to an equalizer in the previous match, but was unable to find his way past the Bayern defense. Marseille has had a miserable season so far, with poor and appalling performances punctuated by rare victories. They are presently winless in the league since January end and overall, haven’t won a match since defeating Internazionale 1-0 at home in February.
Jerome Boateng has been an unsung hero for the Bavarians and along with Badstuber, he forms one of the most competent defensive units in Europe. Needless to say, his performances have made the world sit up and take notice and with the transfer season coming up soon, his price might go up. Both the teams deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation in the Champions League, but Marseille tends to play in a much narrower formation as compared to Bayern, who tends to spread out in the middle and right side of the pitch. It will be an interesting encounter for both teams, but Bayern are heavily favored to progress.
TheHardTackleai??i??s Prediction: Bayern 2-0 Marseille
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SL BENFICA
Stamford Bridge, London
April 4, 2012; 18:45 Hrs GMT
****
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Chelsea is under a customary caretaker-manager-leads-a-late-season-revival phase. Despite the questions about Di Matteo, he has somehow managed to galvanize the team around him. Under him, Chelsea has been a different unit altogether, with players fighting for each and every ball as if their lives depended on it. After a memorable victory over a much-fancied Napoli at the Bridge in that classic Champions League tie, Chelsea is bubbling with a new-found belief to take on whatever team that comes their way.
Benfica, after an impressive performance in the league so far, slipped in the previous match against Chelsea, where they lost by a solitary strike. With only 5 matches to go in the league, they trail Porto by a single point. With qualification to Europe almost guaranteed for next year, Benfica will throw in everything in this match to qualify for the next round, where they might be up against the victor from the Barcelona-Milan match.
Chelsea, so ineffective under Villas-Boas, has found an agent of rejuvenation in none other than Torres, who had been a 50 million dud so far. Suddenly, Torres is everywhere – goalmouths, defense – and the golden-haired Spaniard’s upswing in fortunes mirror the club. With his goal drought coming to an end, Torres has also managed to create chances for his team mates, most notably in the Champions League first-leg match against Benfica.
Benfica, strong and powerful this season was almost toothless in the previous match, with Witsel and GaitA?n being kept quiet by the visitors. All these left Cardozo alone upfront, dealing with the likes of Terry and ex-Benfica player, Luiz. With 4 shots on target in 8 in total, he failed to find a way past a determined Cech, who has been pretty solid under the bar in recent times. Nolito and GaitA?nAi?? came close to an equalizer, but were thwarted by some strong and sensible defending from the London side.
Benfica likes to field a 4-1-4-1 formation at the beginning of the match, but the players soon spread across the entire pitch to provide space during attack. The two central defenders remain fairly close throughout the match, but their right-back, Maxi Pereira, moves so further up the pitch, he resembles a right midfielder. This leaves the team vulnerable on the break specially towards the right. Chelsea, on the other hand, starting with a 4-3-3 formation, soon spread out and becomes a 4-4-1-1, with their fullbacks not going up so much. Mata played in a more central position in the previous match, but if Chelsea is to pick the vacant space left behind by a marauding Pereira, Mata should move more to the left of midfield.
TheHardTackleai??i??s Prediction: Chelsea 2-1 Benfica
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APOEL
Santiago BernabAi??u. Madrid
April 4, 2012; 18:45 Hrs GMT
****
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Real Madrid is on a roll in La Liga, where they crushed Osasuna 5-1 in the previous match. It’s almost as if Mourinho’s teams peak only in his second season, and all indications point to Madrid going on to win it the domestic league. The Galacticos are 6 points ahead of Barcelona in the race for La Liga, and with 8 matches left to play, things are heating up in Spain.
APOEL, on the other hand find themselves on unfamiliar territory. Before the previous match, APOEL had been beaten only once at home in the Champions League. Their foray so far in this year’s UEFA Champions League goes to show how important a part discipline and adherence to formation plays in success in football. Shocking Lyon was probably the biggest upset in their history, but it only goes to show the unpredictable nature of the Champions League.
In the previous match between two sides, Madrid was blocked out for a larger portion of the game by the Crypus-based side, whose defense was solid to say the least. The midfield contributed in stopping the Madrid attacks, but at the same time this prevented them from going on the offensive themselves. The eternally-shrewd Mourinho, found a way to go through the APOEL defense, and in a double substitution, sent in Marcelo and Kaka in the 64th minute.
The game changed thereafter, and with Kaka linking up effectively with Marcelo, Madrid attacked with even greater zeal. Although APOEL caved in and conceded 3 goals, their defense was impressive for a minnow. Cristiano, probably one of the top 5 players in the world right now, had as many as 10 shots, but only 2 on target – a statistic he will be looking to change in this fixture. Whether playing both Kaka and Ozil at the same time will be fruitful is a question which has long been debated, but with both players on top of their game, Mourinho will have to take a gamble.
Madrid usually starts with a 4-2-3-1 formation with their central defenders staying put. The players spread all over the pitch as the game progresses and with their focus on a high pressing game, Mourinho’s men are very particular about their territorial and zonal positions. APOEL, on the other hand, starts with a 4-4-1-1 formation, but in order to deal with a side capable of attacking all night long, they soon change to a defensive formation with only two players up front to deal with anything coming out of a packed midfield and defense. Utilizing space will be crucial for both teams, but at the end, Madrid’s pedigree should see them cross the finish line, even if they never move beyond second gear.
TheHardTackleai??i??s Prediction: Real Madrid 2-0 APOEL
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